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@Mohamed92421904
@Razvan2608
If bank default risk allows NFP we could see a deep correction in gold today. اگر ریسک نکول بانکی اجازه بدهد NFP امروز بتواند اصلاح عمیقی در طلا ببینیم.
Good news: demand has decreased. Bad news: the energy supply shock continues at inflationary prices.
US core inflation eased in March to the lowest level since May 2021, but remains hot and there has been no satisfactory progress toward the Fed's 2% target. The cost of housing is the factor to reduce inflation in 2023. Good at inflationary prices.
Inflation data indicates that the peak interest rate will come down sooner or not? An increase in annual net inflation is a warning that interest rates will remain stable for a long time
How will the information be interpreted? Up until now, bad data has been interpreted as lowering interest rates and thus rising stocks. This view has changed because bad data mean = recession How should the interpretation of inflation data be analyzed? تفسیر اطلاعات چگونه خواهد
More jobs, less unemployment and higher inflation will cause the Fed to increase by 25 points in May. مشاغل بیشتر ,بیکاری کمتر و تورم بالاتر باعث میشود fed در ماه may افزایش 25 واحدی داشته باشد.
Due to the decrease in US inflation pressure, the divergence between the Fed and the market decreased. This week, it will be more logical to react to the data. If there are signs of strengthening of inflation and employment, the sentiment will be risk off again.
Does the PCE predict the market and confirm it or the FED? The market has considered a decrease for 2023.. but the Fed has predicted a rate of 5/1. Now, we have to see which side of the Fed's favorite inflation opinion and approves.
unitl last monnth,the main drivers of the different scenarios had been energy prices and monetary policy,while now it's credit connditions or lending standarda as well as the health of corpoate balance sheets which determine the different scenarios. تا ماه گذشته محرک های اصلی ...
inrerest rates are no longer the primary mechanim for monetary policy. نرخ بعره دیگر مکانیسم اصلی سیاست پولی نیست.
in the us,higher borowing costs and reducad access to credit mean a greater chance of a hard landing for the us economy. this will help to get inflation lower more quickly than would otherwise have happened.
I hope there is no divergence between the Fed and the Treasury When powell reassures the depositors, Yellen should not worry them امیدوارم بین فدرال رزرو و خزانه داری واگرایی نباشد وقتی پاول به سپردگذاران ٱرامش میدهد یلن نباید ٱنها رو نگران کند
FOMC meeting tonight As long as there is inflation, there is hardship. تا وقتی تورم پایدار سختی خواهد بود.
If inflation is increasing, what will the Fed decide? If the Fed wants to increase and continue, what is the reaction of the market? اگر تورم در حال افزایش باشد، فدرال رزرو چه تصمیمی خواهد گرفت؟ اگر فدرال رزرو بخواهد افزایش یابد و ادامه دهد، واکنش بازار چیست؟
There is a lot of data this week..such as inflation. Retail sales. Employment. Interest rate...but my focus is only the market reaction to CVB. I believe that sentiment is more important than fundamental and....
My focus is more on the wage rate than nonfarm payroll.. تمرکزم و بیشتر بر نرخ دستمزد هاست تا اشتغال..
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