Michael J. Kramer
@MichaelMOTTCMYou get more of my content on my subscription services, The Market Chronicles, on YouTube https://t.co/aKPOeAcSIW
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For anyone curious, I posted this to my website, showing how 3Q'24 went for me. It is not a solicitation or offer to sell any product or service. Being transparent in how I use my own analysis. mottcapitalmanagement.com/third-quarter-…
S&P 500 trading at 22 times 2025 earnings estimates. Median 1-yr forward is 15.4 and the average is 15.9 since 1990 That would value the SPX today at around 4,200.
Just look at these retail sales revisions.. Unreal... Fed needs to really cut 😂
the odds of a BOJ rate hike in December are now better than 50%
Traders celebrated Reagan's 1980 win in a big way, thinking that they were getting reforms they wanted. 1981, though, turned out to be an ugly year, and the ugliness lasted all the way to the great 1982 bottom before the post-election hopes and dreams were finally fulfilled. Read…
My latest Chart In Focus article, "Post-Election Celebrations We Have Seen Before", is posted at mcoscillator.com/learning_cente…. It looks at how traders celebrated after the 1964 and 1980 elections, although what happened after the initial celebration was very different.
A Dollar Breakout Could Lead To Equity Market Carnage mottcapitalmanagement.com/a-dollar-break… #dollar #rates #stocks
the Powell Indicator has broken out, and appears steepening quickly.
Margin debt has flattened out basically since May despite the stock market going higher. Generally speaking, that is not a good setup.
🔴 FED'S POWELL: THE LABOR MARKET HAS COOLED TO A POINT WHERE IT IS NO LONGER A SOURCE OF SIGNIFICANT INFLATIONARY PRESSURES.
🔴 FED'S POWELL: TOTAL PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES PRICE INDEX LIKELY ROSE 2.3% IN OCTOBER FROM A YEAR EARLIER (VS 2.1% IN SEPTEMBER); CORE PCE LIKELY ROSE 2.8% (VS 2.7% IN SEPTEMBER).
🔴 FED'S POWELL: THE LABOR MARKET IS SOLID, INFLATION IS ON A SUSTAINABLE PATH TO 2%.
FED'S POWELL: ECONOMIC STRENGTH GIVES FED THE ABILITY TO APPROACH ITS DECISIONS CAREFULLY.
FED'S POWELL: THE FED EXPECTS THESE RATES TO CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE IN RECENT RANGES, WE'RE WATCHING CAREFULLY TO BE SURE THEY DO.
FED'S POWELL: THE FED DOESN'T NEED TO BE IN A HURRY TO REDUCE INTEREST RATES.
United States Trends
- 1. $MAYO 10,7 B posts
- 2. Tyson 395 B posts
- 3. Pence 44,9 B posts
- 4. Dora 22,6 B posts
- 5. Laken Riley 40,8 B posts
- 6. Ticketmaster 16,9 B posts
- 7. Kash 73,7 B posts
- 8. Mike Rogers 9.041 posts
- 9. #LetsBONK 6.408 posts
- 10. Debbie 17,2 B posts
- 11. Cenk 11,2 B posts
- 12. Pirates 19,1 B posts
- 13. #FursuitFriday 15,7 B posts
- 14. Iron Mike 16,4 B posts
- 15. Gabrielle Union N/A
- 16. The UK 441 B posts
- 17. Mr. Mayonnaise 1.430 posts
- 18. Fauci 176 B posts
- 19. Whoopi 55,7 B posts
- 20. Scholars 10,9 B posts
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