Matt A. Barreto 🇵🇪 ⚽️
@realMABarreto🇵🇪⚽️ Co-founder @BSPresearch Profe at @UCLAccstudies @polisciUCLA @ucla_vrp, pollster for the good side, RT or ❤️ ≠ endorsement
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If you haven't been following the MASSIVE surge in Latino voting in Pennsylvania driven by PRs 🇵🇷 these Early Vote numbers from @TargetSmart confirm what we're seeing on the ground with modeled partisanship at 77% Dem among Latino early voters in PA #IsladelEncanto
More precinct data comes out each week and UCLA voting rights project data scientist @ucla_vrp @MikeBRios has documented with clear evidence that Harris received 60 to 70% support from Latinos, quite often in the 67% range. Exit polls can't be right.
The Exit Polls are a survey with sampling bias and large margins of error. Our analysis of actual precinct data reveals Latino vote was about 5-7 pts less Dem than 2020 but still well over 60% for Harris, in some instances 67% or 70% in favor of Harris. Our receipts:
Ray Collazo one of the most important voices we have in the Latino community in all of Pennsylvania doing the work to get out the vote. If Latinos deliver Pennsylvania, call Ray and find out why.
Rally in Reading, PA with @UnidosUS_PAC @AFTEVPDeJesus @AFTunion @frankienegron @Boricuas4Kamala la comunidad is ready to vote for @KamalaHarris ! 🗳️🇵🇷👏🏾💪🏾
This new poll from Univision confirms what we are seeing on the ground which is a massive Latino vote in Pennsylvania, and movement to the Harris-Walz ticket. Puerto Ricans 🇵🇷 are seriously mobilized to vote against Trump!
The final @UniNoticias poll in this cycle is a Latino Pensilvania poll. Lots of Interneting questions and finding. See below and share with your networks univision.com/noticias/elecc…
👀‼️ DO NOT SLEEP ON ARIZONA -- Latino vote is coming in strong right now in Early Vote as of Nov 3 modeled partisanship among Latino votes cast is +40 Dem 67 to 27 suggesting very strong GOTV by @KamalaHarris @RubenGallego @azdemparty @KamalaForAZ
🚨Gente - if you are not following the Latino vote in NORTH CAROLINA -- there is a HUGE SURGE happening right now - well over 100k Latino votes already w 19% first time voters y 39% infrequent voters! By comparison only 5% of Whites are first-time and only 21% infrequent.
Final NYT/Siena poll in Nevada has @KamalaHarris +3 with a +32 lead among Latinos 65-33. It's happening. Just keep getting out every vote!!
It's an @EddieATaveras sighting, hardest working brother on the trail, leading the way for DNC Latino team and going to deliver!!! Vamos!!
I love turning walls into KAMAWALLAS! 2 more days to win this thing!
¡VAMOS PUERTORROS!Digámosle a Trump quien es LA VERDADERA BASURA! ¡ A VOTAR POR KAMALA HARRIS! ELLA SI NOS RESPETA Y LUCHA POR NOSOTROS Y NUESTRA BELLA ISLA! Harris campaign sends actor Rosie Perez to rally supporters in Allentown | LehighValleyNews.com lehighvalleynews.com/elections/acto…
GOP Speaker Johnson said they plan to end Obamacare. New analysis from Dr Gabriel Sanchez, leading expert on Latino health policy says ending ACA would have a devastating impact on Latinos, read more here: bspresearch.com/endingaca/
New analysis from @_anaisxlopez documents how Jan 6 day of love comment is losing Trump Latino votes. Receipts below:
⚠️ANALYSIS⚠️Trump's support for Jan 6 is losing him Latino votes 49% of Latino voters say Jan 6 is a deal-breaker and they cannot support a candidate associated with it. % deal-breaker: Indep - 46% Lean Rep- 34% Strong Rep - 18% Undecided - 50% FULL: bspresearch.com/jan6/
And if you look at early vote data in PA among Latinos we are seeing LOTS of Latinos renounce Trump! From early vote data as of today, modeled partisanship for Latino vote in PA is: 78.4% Dem to 17.7% Repub (3.9% other). MASSIVE LATINO VOTE SHOWING UP FOR DEMS IN PA
NEWS: In Instagram video @NickyJamPR RENOUNCES his support for Trump after rally comment about Puerto Rico being a floating island of garbage. Says he supported him because he thought he was better for the economy but never thought something like this would happen weeks later.
🚨📊🗳️ LATINO EARLY VOTE TOTALS: Oct 30, 2024 morning report I pulled from @TargetSmart shows Latino early/mail vote steadily growing and in every BG state giving VERY BIG advantages to Dems --> total net votes for Dems estimated at 169k and average partisan net of +32.4 Dem.
Gente!! Did you see the @HispanicFed @latinovictoryus poll which was BEFORE #MSGKlanRally already showing that PR 🇵🇷 voters in PA were 66-28 (+38) for Harris y ahora son ENERGIZED to vote. @Vegalteno states: "The road to the White House comes through Pennsylvania Latino barrios"
This is a massive dataset, people should go look at it, and they are fully transparent on methods and provide everything to the public, and it is run by really, really smart academics... I am still very bullish on AZ, but go have a look for yourself:
we now have estimates for key states AZ: Trump 51/Harris 47 GA: Trump 51/Harris 46 MI: Harris 51/Trump 46 NV: Harris 51/Trump 47 NC: Trump 50/Harris 48 PA: Harris 49/Trump 48 TX: Trump 51/Harris 47 WI: Harris 50/Trump 47 Full results here: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp20…
THIS IS HUGE. Trump's immigration plan will tear families apart, over 22M are being targeted, including US citizens! This is an outrage!
Today’s @TucsonStar cover. Trump wants to separate Arizona families, threatening the safety and security of 1 in 5 Latino Arizonans.
🚨🗳️ Two new polls out yesterday both showing Harris at 62% Latino vote with greater than 25-point lead, one via Entravision (62-35) and one via CBS (62-36). The trend is clear - Harris growing steadily each week with Latino voters. Now the focus is GET OUT THE VOTE 💪🏽
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Who to follow
-
UCLA Latino Policy & Politics Institute
@UCLAlatino -
Ashley Jardina
@AshleyJardina -
𝚂𝚎𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚘 𝙶𝚊𝚛𝚌𝚒𝚊-𝚁𝚒𝚘𝚜
@SergioGarciaRs -
Christian Grose
@christiangrose -
Betsy Sinclair
@BetsySinclair1 -
Stephanie Valencia
@stephanievalenc -
Bernard L. Fraga
@blfraga -
Efrén Pérez
@EfrenPoliPsy -
Kelsey Shoub
@k_shoub -
Samara Klar
@SamaraKlar -
Brian Hamel
@hamelpolisci -
Sonja Francine Marie Diaz
@SonjaFrancine -
Chris Warshaw
@cwarshaw -
sara sadhwani
@sarasadhwani -
Julian Wamble
@jwamble25
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