Logan Phillips
@LoganR2WHI track the latest polls, and forecast the Presidential, Senate and House elections at RacetotheWH. @ColumbiaSIPA Alum
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The underlying data in the exit polls suggest Harris is on track to win PA by 0.3%, and Trump is on track to win NC by 0.4%. Keep in mind that while exit polls are more reliable than normal polls, they are far from perfect.
630 ET we will be LIVE on Youtube/Rumble! We have a partnership with @DecisionDeskHQ and will have up to the minute data + be able to call states We also have data guru @LoganR2WH manning the con for updates Live tonight + this week as long as it takes!
In the final days of the campaign, Harris retook the lead - narrowly - in the RacetotheWH Forecast. Check back in later tonight as we run a live election-day forecast!
Love seeing @lxeagle17 & @LoganR2WH in Playbook. Two rising talents who can find the signal in this very noisy election. politico.com/news/magazine/…
Wow - that was the last thing I expected! One thing is clear - Ann Selzer isn't herding her polls!
New @DMRegister/@jaselzer poll of Iowa 🟦 Kamala Harris: 47% (+3) 🟥 Donald Trump: 44% 808 LVs, MOE 3.4%
We ran the numbers. Even if all 7 swing states are actually tied, there's only a ~1 in 9.5 trillion chance~ that so many polls would show such a close race. 🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑
I had the pleasure of being on Politico's Playbook today with @lxeagle17 Listen to it here!
It's hard *not* to analyze any and all sign of how the presidential race will go. We spoke to top election forecasters @lxeagle17 and @LoganR2WH about the early vote and what it means. Their advice: Touch grass. 🎧 Listen to the full Playbook Deep Dive: bit.ly/3UxpiYz
When I built the Race to the WH forecast, I tested it on every election since 1972. Today, the 2024 election is now more competitive in my forecast than any other election was entering election day
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Who to follow
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RacetotheWH
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Burgess Everett
@burgessev -
G Elliott Morris
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Split Ticket
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Cook Political Report
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Polling USA
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Elections Daily
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umichvoter 🏳️🌈
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Bad Electoral Takes 🇺🇦
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