@joeyrichar Profile picture

Joseph Richards

@joeyrichar

Founder at https://t.co/pN3ScpRxMS (acq GE), ex-GE Digital, ex-astrostats dude. Co-founder at @addaveggie.

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🚨 Final 2024 US Presidential Election Forecast 🚨 Probability of a Harris win: 91% Predicted Popular Vote Margin: D+3.0 pts Predicted Electoral Votes for Harris: 292

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My Sept prediction of Iowa being a tossup looks a lot more sensible now after that Seltzer D+3 poll!

Every 4 years, I dust off the Election Forecaster that I built for the Bayesian Stats class I taught in 2012. Sept 26 Forecast: Prob. Harris wins Electoral College: 85% 🔵 Predicted EVs for Harris: 287 Pred. Popular Vote Margin: 2.7 pts See electoral map for state-wise probs.

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Joseph Richards Reposted

There is no easy way to talk about this. This week the UN announced we are on track to reach up to 3.1° Celsius of warming. We are slated to blow past the goals of the Paris Accords. Here's what this means. (1/9) 🧵


Joseph Richards Reposted

Focusing for a moment on the POLICIES at play. Voters were asked whether they supported 100 different policies, but weren't told whether the policy was from Trump or Harris. Nearly all of Harris' policies got majority support from the public, and... 🧵

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Joseph Richards Reposted

Since September 30 (last Monday), there have been almost as many Republican-aligned polls released as non-partisan polls — with Democratic-aligned polls basically non-existent. 🟣 Non-partisan-aligned polls: 33 🔴 Republican-aligned polls: 26 🔵 Democratic-aligned polls: 1

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Joseph Richards Reposted

FLORIDA EVACUEES 🚨 If you are headed North to escape the Cat 5 coming in and need a safe place to be, I have 5 acres available just off I-75N where we have WiFi, a generator, Laundry, parking , RV space some electrical and water hook-ups. Pets and large animals welcome. We can…


Joseph Richards Reposted

My sustainability class just finished a module about disinformation. I had them write me a letter assuming they were flunking and arguing that they deserve an A, using the techniques of disinformation we discussed, like cherry picking, false experts and ad hominem. HOO-boy. 1/n


Joseph Richards Reposted

11 ways ChatGPT saves me hours of work every day, and why you'll never outcompete those who use AI effectively. A list for those who write code: 1 of 16


Joseph Richards Reposted

If you do not accept my compromise, and tell me there will be no lawsuits, I will then withdraw this offer, and delve a bit deeper in another Open Letter with facts about these rapists & you & your relative including links & evidence. My next offer then will not be this good


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