Nenad
@epi_shonicEpidemiology enthusiast with a special interest in communicable diseases and biostatistics. MD. #epidemiology #biostatistics
New post on mpox, outlining how we got here – and where we might be going next: blog.kucharski.io/?how-we-got-he…
In the light of H5N1 and H5N2, now would be a good time for people to be asking countries what their updated pandemic flu plan is (i.e. with the benefit of everything we’ve learnt during COVID). Need to move beyond vague platitudes, and pin down actual tools and approaches…
Malaria mosquitoes return to Italy after 50 years Jo Lines tells @thetimes how habitat changes have enabled a mosquito species which can transmit #malaria to re-establish itself in southern Italy 🇮🇹 🦟 👇bit.ly/3xZjjmX
Periodic reminder that: ▪︎ p<0.05 isn't "evidence an effect exists" ▪︎ p>0.05 isn't "evidence that there is no effect" Statistical evidence against a vaguely defined point null is generally not evidence for or against your specific pet theory
This👇🏼 A few years ago, I met a man whose father had been a subject* in the USPHS’s Tuskeegee Study. At 67, the son was only just becoming comfortable with doctors, thanks to a new community health clinic. ____ *For this study, “subject” is more appropriate than “participant”.
My usual: public health and health equity real talk. Thank you @NinePBS and Carol Daniel for providing this platform for this type of authenticity for our communities
My usual: public health and health equity real talk. Thank you @NinePBS and Carol Daniel for providing this platform for this type of authenticity for our communities
absence of evidence ≠ evidence of absence measurement error ≠ bias towards null clinical trial ≠ study with patients multivariate ≠ multivariable 95%CI ≠ 95% probability p-value ≠ probability H0 correlation ≠ causation significant ≠ relevant bias ≠ error odds ≠ risk
“Whoever reads Nietzsche without laughing, and laughing heartily and often and sometimes hysterically, is almost not reading Nietzsche at all.” Deleuze
Amazing! #epidemic #Covid #Dengue Thank you @adamjkucharski open.substack.com/pub/kucharski/…
What’s chikungunya? It’s a mosquito-borne alpha virus that causes debilitating, sometimes prolonged arthritis. It can be excruciatingly painful and permanently disabling. No thanks. As always, vaccines > viruses.
If you’re pregnant, flu can be even more dangerous. A flu shot can tame the wildest flu symptoms and protect your baby from flu for several months after birth when they are too young to be vaccinated. #FightFlu
Just to be clear, it is not okay to come to work sick and try to 'soldier on'. You are not being admirable, stoic or supportive of your colleagues. You are threatening to infect them and make them and their family sick as well. And if you are a HCW you might cause far worse.
"Finally, the #influenza season is approaching in the northern hemisphere, even as hospitalizations and deaths from #COVID19 continue to increase. During the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, circulation of influenza viruses declined because of the precautions societies and…
B/Yamagata #flu viruses disappeared in March 2020, seemingly driven into extinction by the Covid-19 pandemic. An expert panel that advises @WHO on flu shot composition said today it's time to take the B/Yam viruses component out of flu shots. statnews.com/2023/09/29/who…
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