@TheBrexitPoll Profile picture

The Brexit Poll

@TheBrexitPoll

The Brexit Poll is a pooling of British EU referendum polls by @BDStanley. Affiliated with no pollster or campaign organisation.

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Absolutely final pooled poll, inc. @yougov on-the-day poll: REMAIN (52%) almost certainly wins.

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If undecided voters lean LEAVE, then LEAVE almost certainly wins.

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If undecided voters lean REMAIN, then REMAIN almost certainly wins.

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If undecided voters are excluded, REMAIN (50.4%) is possibly ahead.

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Trends to 22nd June.

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Final pooled result following the release of a Populus poll today. REMAIN and LEAVE are about even.

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Trends to 22 June show how tight the polling has been in the final days of the campaign.

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After final Ipsos MORI poll, LEAVE (50.6%) is possibly ahead of REMAIN (49.4%).

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Unfortunately, Ipsos MORI only released figures without undecided voters. I’ll update the full model if/when they release full figures.


Waiting for the final Ipsos MORI poll, and will run the final pooling model.


After TNS and Opinium polls released today, LEAVE (47.7%) is possibly ahead of REMAIN (46.8%).

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If undecided voters lean LEAVE, then LEAVE (52.5%) is almost certainly ahead of REMAIN (47.5%).

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Trends without undecided voters.

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Latest figures without undecided voters.

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Latest pooling of polls shows that LEAVE and REMAIN are neck and neck.

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