Arian Modarres
@NoCapAnalyticsSports, models, and betting for @BRotoFantasy. Statistics grad by way of @Columbia and @GWtweets. 90% of stats are noise, including this one.
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PSA for my small (but growing) twitter followers. I’m excited to announce that going forward, my models will provide @BRotoFantasy win probabilities, totals, and recommended bets. If you haven’t downloaded their app yet, do yourself the favor, and let’s get this spread.
THE🔥🔥🔥KEEPS COMING!! Introducing the FF by BRoto App BETTING CORNER! It has all the betting info you need with a BONUS: Recommended bets based on @NoCapAnalytics’s proven betting model with >9% ROI every season Download: Onelink.to/66yp96 #FantasyFootball
What people miss is that if non college whites didn’t exist Trump would have just campaigned on entirely different shit, along with Harris, and probably still won. Neither have any actual principles and it’s just a strategy game.
Seeing as the 2024 election is over, here’s a thread of what the electoral map would’ve looked like had only X demographic voted: For example, here is the electoral map had turnout been 100%
FanDuel execs watching 11 of 13 favorites win on Week 6
FanDuel and DraftKings shaving millions off their revenue forecasts because NFL favorites keep winning What happened to the league of parity?
This is why the “she lost because she’s a woman of color” claims don’t move me one bit. No, she lost because she was an integral part of a historically unpopular administration and insisted, until the very end, that she would fight to preserve the status quo. That’s it.
The View clip of Kamala Harris, saying she would have done nothing differently, this includes Gaza, than Biden: "There is not a thing that comes to mind ... I'v been a part of most of the decisions that have had impact. Listen, I plan on having a Republican in my cabinet."
It should come as no great surprise that a Democratic Party which has abandoned working class people would find that the working class has abandoned them. While the Democratic leadership defends the status quo, the American people are angry and want change. And they’re right.
I have way more respect for a conservative who votes for Trump or a genuinely apathetic person not voting than some hyper engaged person loudly taking a stand saying they’re not voting or voting third party or whatever. Like u not special
I hate to break it to you but that's exactly how it works in America.
Think about this, Tom Brady was hired for a position with zero experience and he replaced a proven guy who worked his way up. Greg Olsen was awesome. The complete opposite of how it supposed to work in America.
"Wow, Japan is so orderly and safe, it must be because of their homogenous population" Well...maybe there's something else going on there
Psychiatric beds per 100,000 residents, worldwide comparison. America is..a little behind
My take is that the rise of cult-like behavior is directly linked to secularization in the West. We just swapped the church with some other group and activity. Ultimately, we still live in a Christian society. All the underlying values are the same. The fanatical behavior is…
Correlated parlay tidbit: for NFL, the average correlation between a team winning and their QB going over (or under) his passing yards prop is virtually nil. More early passing yards to gain the lead is offset almost perfectly by fewer late passing yards to hold the lead.
If you're playing a game against the global working class using only the upper-middle class white kids who can afford a sporting equivalent to "piano lessons", you're going to lose in perpetuity. Amateur football in England learned that lesson, like, 140 years ago.
Sure. Pay to play is not ruining youth soccer. Millions benefit. It's a business catering to a market willing to pay for the product. Soccer (like piano lessons) is not an inalienable right. Free soccer costs money. Someone has to pay. So who will pay for all this free soccer?
US fans would love Klopp until they realize he’s quite up front about his political opinions, which might happen to clash with those of a large chunk of the fan base that solely sees soccer as an opportunity to get fucked up and chant USA at a bunch of Guatemalans
Sure. Pay to play is not ruining youth soccer. Millions benefit. It's a business catering to a market willing to pay for the product. Soccer (like piano lessons) is not an inalienable right. Free soccer costs money. Someone has to pay. So who will pay for all this free soccer?
The whole US soccer system is a joke. Everything needs to just start over and be rebuilt because it obviously doesnt work. We have this talk every year. The amount of money this country has, there are no excuses not to be able to compete. Youth system is a joke. No…
Absent that put option- or if *he* had to write it himself, eg by being a first-gen student who had to support a family much poorer than him- he would have picked a much lower volatility career, like medical doctor, where he would not have had a chance to become a billionaire.
The less you do, the harder it is to do things. A full time job is not an impediment to anything else in your life and may in fact create more time rather than the opposite by giving more meaning to your “free” hours
Martingale is the perfect system for touts because it wins 99% of the time and the 1% who lose their life savings you can just ignore or block
Feeling like you have no fucking idea what you’re doing is the price of entry to achieving your dreams.
"I am routinely out-coached."
Sheldon Keefe: "When teams play the Leafs, they set up the game for the Leafs to beat themselves"
Hey you! You should check out this cool new paper. "War Causes Religiosity" The authors scraped web images of hundreds of thousands of gravestones of deceased U.S. Americans. People who were randomly drafted into war are at least 20% more likely to have religious gravestones
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