@AflGains Profile picture

AflGains

@AflGains

Data scientist and sport enthusiast

Joined March 2019
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The first 3 eps of my small youtube course on Bayesian Inference with @mcmc_stan is now available youtube youtube.com/channel/UCQSiw…! It's a practical intro for beginners who want to code as soon as possible without all of the scary math. Enjoy!


Bails not counted?? Why?!?? Bails have always been a part of the wicket and stumps!!?


First dabble in cricket stats! Everyone knows The Don had the highest average, but he also smokes everyone when compared with their best streaks in their career. Highlights for second are Smith's 80 in 77 innings and Andy Flower's whopping 91 in 34 innings!

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Part 2 of using ChatGPT4 to do Bayesian Inference is out! Last video I didn't really explain what ChatGPT has written, I just copy pasted. This time, I explain what it's code does and suggest 3 improvements that make the predictions much better! youtu.be/XjQpV6c9K5g


In my latest video, I use @OpenAI 's ChatGPT to write me a @mcmc_stan code to predict @premierleague matches! Without much prompting, it ended up using a simple ELO model on Margin. Check out part 1 here! youtube.com/watch?v=4LTUYT…


Pumping out the videos now. Here's a new fun video about "target+=" in Stan. youtube.com/watch?v=C1AtIM… If you didn't understand any of that but you're interested in Bayesian Stats, maybe check out the first four episode of my Bayesian Inference Course here! youtube.com/watch?v=66TZEZ…


❤️💛💙


Ep4 of Bayesian Inference with @mcmc_stan is out! youtu.be/LFPMrCYcT-M. In this episode we build a Bayesian Logistic Regression model to predict the outcome of AFL matches! Use this if you want to getting better at tipping!


Episode 4 of Bayesian Inference with Stan being edited! In this episode we use a Bayesian model to predict #AFL matches

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Who made this graph and why are three of the colours used twice!!??

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England didn’t even make the follow on 🤓


Latest Stan video out. This time just a channel update covering future content and a channel name change. Got some super exciting stuff planned in the next few months! Check it out youtu.be/jS5PShYNlWM


The Melbourne cup is a barbaric practice designed to encourage binge drinking and gambling at the sake of animals who have no choice but to participate. #NupToTheCup


AflGains Reposted

📢Announcing 📢 StanConnect 2022: "Stan Through Space and Time" Date: October 31st, 8am-12:30pm EDT We've got an incredible lineup -- check out the speakers, abstracts and register now: eventbrite.com/e/stanconnect-… Hosted by @JamieAHogg + us.


This is embarrassing


Last week we covered installing pystan 2 on windows. This week we're covering pystan 3 on windows using WSL! Pystan3 is a superior library over pystan2, being actively maintained and having a better license, so you'll want to check this one out youtu.be/LND_zkZmqsk


Good on NA for sticking to their guns. Sick of billionaires using their money and influence to push their horrible views. The next step, and the real prize, will be to remove gambling ads from sport all together.


Starting to Use wsl2 to run my python scripts. So much better than straight up windows and way more intuitive than docker!!!


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