121 Trading Academy
@121TradeAcademyChart topping Trader (Telegraph Newspaper LDN) & Investor of 16 years. Trading the Stock, Forex & Crypto markets. Join us on our next Seminar.
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Looking forward to the next @Telegraph Fantasy Fund Manager. Pit your wits trading against the top City Traders, Fund Managers & Investment journalists. Here’s our Director sitting No.3 out of 5669 Traders. Did he hit the top spot? #trading #forex #seminars
Tighten up those stops…
All of the richest billionaires are selling the market ATHs while all of the poorest and going all-in right now. People will never learn. Follow the money for F sake.
All of the richest billionaires are selling the market ATHs while all of the poorest and going all-in right now. People will never learn. Follow the money for F sake.
US government debt market collapse has begun This has MASSIVE implications for the economy A thread 🧵
$SPY $QQQ The wedge breakdown has happened yet again. Did we just witness the final bull trap following Trump's reelection? It surely felt like we saw peak optimism following the results of last week's election. A year end sell-off would catch a majority of traders off-guard.
$SPY $QQQ Despite climbing higher than anticipated - my roadmap remains unchanged. Majority suggest a melt-up into year end. I myself, remain contrarian, and expect a nice correction into year end.
Elections marked a turning point in 1928, 1972, & 2000 Each instance saw a market melt-up followed by a crash 2024 is following this blueprint very closely This won’t end well… A thread 🧵
This looks like one of the most expensive markets of all -time, based on P/S, P/B, and P/E. #spx
Great article as always from the excellent @MichaelMOTTCM #stocks #economiccycle mottcapitalmanagement.com/rates-and-the-…
This chart is great, but it cries out for having some additional context. I inverted the original chart, and then added an overlay of the SP500, which allows us to see that the most extreme point for the high yield spread typically PRECEDES the final price high.
US h igh-yield bond spreads are the tightest they’ve been since before the GFC.
$SPX has officially fulfilled every wave projection, from the Monthly down to the 1-minute, completing Wave C of [W5] within Wave 5—signaling the apex of an unprecedented, multi-decade rally. The final phase of this historic ascent has now unfolded, with the structure clearly…
Great words. The market will ALWAYS run in economic cycles. It’s not about being a bull or a bear, it’s about knowing where we are in the cycle and positioning accordingly 😉
We’re likely in the final phase of the Bull Market Cycle—the “Blow-Off” phase—with sub-phases of “Renewed Optimism,” “FOMO,” and now, possibly, “Euphoria.” Last week’s ~5% gain in the S&P 500, despite late-cycle signals like a yield curve inversion and rising unemployment,…
Great post…
Shocking stat of the day: The S&P 500 has closed at 50 all time highs this year and we still have 7 weeks left. This means the S&P 500 has seen TRIPLE its average number of all time highs in a year. What happened the last time we saw 50+ all time highs in a year? (a thread)
This is concerning: US full-time employment just dropped by 1.0 MILLION year-over-year, posting the 9th consecutive month of declines. Over the last 18 months, 1.3 MILLION Americans have lost their full-time job, the most since 2020. In past economic cycles, such a prolonged…
Since 1980, here's what happened in instances when the SPX weekly price was trading > 30% above its 200 WMA, and the previous week saw a gain > 4.5%: Average return 1 year later = +1%. However, when factoring in the P/S valuation metric (% distance from exponential growth…
$SPX has either completed—or is just one fractal wave away from completing—the rally that stretches back not only to the 2022 low but likely all the way from 2009 (!). A break below 5880 is the first warning shot. But if we lose the 50% retrace of Wave C at 5840, the reversal…
Should we expect a shift in the long term cycle? Or is this time different?
An observation fwiw: Readings on the $SPX McClellan oscillator keep getting weaker & weaker from new high to new high. Yesterday's big post election rally to new all time highs produced a measly reading of just +6, the weakest read yet in an ever declining series since July.
"My general view is bottoms are short and stocks are fully valued, it'll more likely go down than up from here, and that if one was a trader, they'd sell strength of the opening, and that the market will be down next year," says billionaire investor Leon Cooperman.
This is one of the most stupidest markets ever. The longest ("liquidity driven") bullmarket in history. How much longer they are able to pump it this is the big question. Divergences are everywhere! Well, let it be the last hooray before the day of reckoning, so enjoy it!
Hate to rain on the bull parade in crypto land and equity futures, but this melt up in bond yields can’t end well…
The current level of the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator suggests a cautious approach. This may indicate an increased likelihood of a trend reversal.
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