Will Helms
@whelms21Academic Coach/Test Prepper; Recruiting/CFB @CFN365; Analytics @on3; Scouting/Rankings @PrepRedzoneNC; Love Jesus, coffee, 2-pt conversions, and Oxford commas
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Working on watchlists for 1A, 2A, 3A, 4A, NCISAA, and 8-man offensive and defensive player of the year awards on @PrepRedzoneNC You know what to do. DM or reply to nominate your guys!
I ran all of these initially with the Vegas spread. I just re-ran them as if SC simply got the 2.5 for being at home and nothing else. The first fourth down turned to a slight "punt," Drink's kick decision got worse, and the rest of Beamer's decisions got better.
I'll elaborate this week, but @aisports_4th model had all of the 4th down decisions for SC as the correct decisions. For the 4th and 4, it gave the field success rate at 46% and the go for it SR at 50% (both seemed high).
The only 4th down mistake of the game? Eli Drinkwitz's decision to kick a field goal on 4th-and-1 at the 7. That cost Mizzou a nearly 25% relative win probability, one of the most egregious 4th down errors we've seen.
I'll elaborate this week, but @aisports_4th model had all of the 4th down decisions for SC as the correct decisions. For the 4th and 4, it gave the field success rate at 46% and the go for it SR at 50% (both seemed high).
Because I'm smug. If I'm going to admit that I mildly overreacted to a couple of bad games from Sellers, can I at least get props for suggesting losing the LSU game cost SC a real chance at the CFP?
On second review, this is two separate play action passes off the same QB power that SC destroyed A&M with. SC has an offensive coordinator
Update: SC no longer has a quarterback issue.
Perhaps it's one game, but SC has a SERIOUS quarterback issue. Here's the screegrab of 2nd and 18, one of about six times Sellers just didn't see a wide open receiver.
Also, Mizzou ran the same slot fade on fouth-and-5 that SC tried on their fourth-and-4 play.
I'll have to check the shovel pass again, but on first look, SC's last two TDs were PA off of offensive staples. I wrote about that Michael Smith TD play being a real possibility in this week's analytics report.
SC is getting dominated on both lines of scrimmage. Interior DL for Mizzou has destroyed SC's OL
For anyone wondering, Mizzou's defensive power success rate is 31%. SC's offensive power success rate is 83%
It's fun having Sean McDonough as the announcer for terrible officiating.
Pitt QB just took a forearm uppercut to the face and it wasn't a roughing the passer, targeting or anything....?
Absolutely stroked it. This kid could start on like 20 college teams
And the defensive standouts: Corinth Holders vs. Clayton Defensive Standouts @codiewitmer @Korbyn_Mitchel @Ak_Crumel +Many More prepredzone.com/2024/11/corint…
Corinth Holders vs. Clayton Offensive Standouts @holderjaylon @tayvon_evans18 @DamariusMckoy @terris_hobbs @AidenSmalls2026 + Several others prepredzone.com/2024/11/corint…
I'm interested in how SC approached Mizzou's outside zone today. The conventional way to stop it is flowing linebackers and solid gap integrity. The less pretty way is to just blow up the guard. I wonder if SC opts for the second one a few times.
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