Nemaconz
@nemaconzI chart out my trades and thoughts on the price action of XLM. I never give financial advice, I only say what I am doing. Follow my trades at your own risk.
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Listen to what Imam Tawhidi is saying. He nailed it!
I bought back in this morning after the release of the 2nd QE. The market responded far more positively than I expected but basically for the next two months there will be no more bad news and it is likely the next fed rate hike will beat expectations. So let the rally begin.
Fed raised rates by 75 Points. Earnings report comes out tomorrow and it probably won't be too good but again experts think most of it is already priced in. I'm still sitting on the sidelines. The rally right now could be a head fake before tomorrow. I'm playing it safe for now.
Despite the pump, I'm still sitting this out. Some people think the fed rate hike is already priced in, I'm not so convinced. I will continue waiting until the hike next week and will decide my course of action then, would rather miss out on an early re-entry than buy the top.
Some people are getting anxious because price action is up. I see no reason for a long term reversal yet but I can definitely see the need for a surge before the ETH merger and the next Fed Rate hike and it's to position for a short. I will remain on the sidelines for now.
Where did BTC close for the day? At resistance. ETH has been making some gains but that is almost certainly linked to the ETH merger news which I can say with 99% certainty will likely result in a "buy the rumor sell the news" style dump. Trust what the chart is telling you.
Big bearish divergence on the BTC daily. Volume has been dropping with upward price movement as well. I wouldn't trust this rally.
Before people get too excited, we are still well within the range of the ascending wedge and if you look at the week or two before the last fed rate hike we had a surge just like the one we are having now. The next rate hike occurs July 26 - 27.
Rising wedge/bear flag on BTC daily with falling volume. Makes sense with the next fed rate hike coming at the end of the month. More signs to the downside. Next support is $14k. Then $12.6k. Can't see a reason to logically break to the upside anytime soon.
Bollingers bands are tightening on the daily, the symmetric triangle is close to completion, volume is drying up and a bearish divergence has now appeared on the daily. BTC is real close to making its next move. With another big fed rate hike this month, it's probably down.
So we made a lower low. From macro perspective we need to take out $17.6k to make the next lower low. I'm gonna be honest with you, I sold out again when BTC was at $21.5k. Unfortunately I think we have another leg down coming and even then I am not sure that will be the bottom.
BTC needs to hold above $19.8k or we will set a lower low. I am not seeing any bullish divergences but I am also not seeing bearish divergences on the daily or 4hr time frame. The weekly and monthly time frame has massive bullish divergences so the long term outlook is bullish.
Let me put on my tinfoil hat for a second. MAYBE the reason alts are hanging on while BTC is crashing is because whales want to execute a reverse alt season. Short Bitcoin then once that is exhausted turn around and short alts into oblivion. Just a thought.#BTC @BCBacker
I have never seen an instance where BTC was getting rekt and the alts held their levels like this. Taking price and dominance into account it would appear that confidence has been lost in BTC, but not alts. Could this be the canary in the coal mine for an unexpected alt season??
I think we got one more leg down, it would be keeping with history and the current fractal. The stars are aligning, the bottom I believe is near. After that we can look forward to a long period of jerking our dicks to very little price action as the whales accumulate again. #BTC
Suck me beautiful, look at this shit. The devil is in the details.
DXY has a bullish divergence on the daily, meaning it is likely to pull back up in the short term. If the DXY goes up BTC is likely to go down. Starts to make me think the squeeze is going to force the price down based on this and other indicators I am watching.
Hold onto your butts, bolinger bands are putting the squeeze on BTC price action. Notice how the price has been in a very narrow range the last few days? Well that shit is about to change, I expect an explosive volatile move soon in the very near future, could be hours or days.
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