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1971mogadischu

@krapfino

„Vox populi - Vox Rindvieh!“ - Franz-Josef Strauß. Doppelseitige Allergie gegen Schwurbler und Rechtsdreher. #noafd #nobsw

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1971mogadischu Reposted

3/18 The ATACMS missiles that have been delivered to Ukraine are the ones that deliver cluster munitions, they don't have a unitary warhead, so they can't be used against the Kerch Bridge (I bring this up because a lot of people expect this); - These capabilities, if used…


1971mogadischu Reposted

Whether you believe Russia will start a "nuclear war" over a few Western supplied Ukrainian missiles hitting targets in Russia (as Western missiles repeatedly struck targets inside Crimea, which Russia genuinely believes is theirs and did nothing) is tantamount to an IQ test.


1971mogadischu Reposted

Many, including me, are shocked by Trump’s victory and coping. We endlessly scroll social media, chasing hope and bracing for fear, but research shows it only deepens anxiety and depression. It’s better to meet friends, take a walk, read, or cook. 1/


Klingt das nach einem Statement pro NATO ? Nicht unwichtig heutzutage 🤔

Hegseth: "I've friends who are like: well, if you don't stop him in Ukraine then he's gonna go all the way to Poland...I don't think he is...I think he's probably knows enough to know that is probably not going much further than Ukraine, and I don't think he's a suicidal maniac"



Soll man auf X bleiben trotz Musk ? Wer kann eigentlich noch all die Meinungen und Infos verarbeiten, die hier angeboten werden ? Wie seht Ihr das ?


1971mogadischu Reposted

A Trump administration that by a combination of mass sackings, mass resignations and widespread demoralisation destroys the US civil service will find itself pulling policy levers only for nothing coherent to happen on the ground. Not a fascist state but rather a shattered state


1971mogadischu Reposted

1/16 I was asked on Digi24 what Trump's new mandate means for Ukraine. I answer what I think in more detail here: 1. Donald Trump: President Trump is poised to be a President who will have through the Republican Party absolute control of the Administration and the Congress if…

Tweet Image 1

1971mogadischu Reposted

All I can say is that whatever Trump and his foreign policy team thinks is accomplishable in the RU-UKR conflict, they're in for massive disillusionment real quick.


1971mogadischu Reposted

I mean if that’s the deal (no added tariffs on EUR and support for UKR in exchange for much tougher policy towards China plus a lot more EUR defense spending), I’m in favor of it. Alternatives wld be eg undermining or destroying NATO and/or abandoning UKR.

It is a whole lot worse, or it *could* be a whole lot worse?



1971mogadischu Reposted

“According to people close to the Trump team, Mr. Cotton initially sought the State Department post but is now said to be seeking another Cabinet post. Sen. Bill Hagerty, Tennessee Republican, is said to be seeking the Secretary of State position” washingtontimes.com/news/2024/nov/…


Interesting thread @dubowy_alex @gnuggat1 @nicolange_ @bertina_alec thoughts ?

US Russia policy is more or less the same no matter what administration is in the house. Thus radical change is very unlikely 7/7 For more detail, check my piece for @RiddleRussia ridl.io/putin-vs-trump…



1971mogadischu Reposted

Es konnte mir noch niemand erklären, welches Interesse Trump haben sollte, dass in der Ukraine eine Allianz der Feinde der USA (inkl. Iran, Nordkorea, China) gewinnt und Putin ein (PR-)Sieg gelingt. Für Amerikaner (Bürger) ist Ukraine zwar egal, Taiwan aber auch - 1/


1971mogadischu Reposted

I think we *all* need to take a deep breath until we see how his administration is staffed. I doubt Europe will sweat a Secretary of State Tom Cotton, for example. And also the Bridge Colby crowd has been adamant that EU needs to step up, but will not be abandoned.


Das trifft wahrscheinlich zu.

ist Transaktionalist, kein Isolationist. Wer bereit ist zu zahlen und amerikanisch zu kaufen wird stärkeren Schutz geniessen als die, die das nicht sind. Die zentrifugalen Kräfte in der EU sind mE zu stark als sie zu einer Geschlossenheit führen werden und der Weg zur Autonomie 2



1971mogadischu Reposted

Europeans can no longer afford to spend the night glued on television every four years to know if they will still be protected by America comes the next morning. (Or worse, considering that they may have to wait for weeks to know who the next legally elected president is.)


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