Felipe Ito Anuatti
@ito_anuattiEconomista semi-aposentado, fã de Dorival Caymmi e Brahms, Global Shaper.
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Saying it again 49.9% with a 1.5% margin is not an overwhelming majority. Stop feeding the narrative that he won overwhelmingly. The nation is split as it has been and he won on the margin. Half the nation said “no” and let’s not act otherwise
Updated estimate: Harris 76.2m votes (48.4%) Trump 78.5m votes (49.9%) other 2.6m votes (1.5%) Total turnout 157.3m votes (vs 158.6m in 2020) Trump margin +1.5% Tipping-point state: PA (Trump +2.1%)
Trump won by 255K votes in the 3 states that decided the election. A swing of 128K votes in those states and Harris is POTUS. Estimates have him winning under 50% of the popular vote. MAGA lost Senate races in WI, MI, NV, and AZ. It may lose the House. Hard to see a landslide.
E tem quem ache que qualidade de vida é levar o estilo de vida “condomínio fechado” a todas as classes, cada uma limitada ao seu lugar, e não criar ruas, praças e bairros melhores pra todos. Simulação de cidade, sem encontro, sem oportunidade, sem diversidade, sem vida.
The thing about human psychology is, once you give people a nice clean number, it doesn’t matter how many times you say "but there’s an error margin of +/- x points, anything is possible". People are going to anchor on that central number. We shouldn’t enable this behaviour!
>"If you don't vote for me your kids will be nuked" >wins 486 electoral votes it's about time the Democrats use this strategy again
O incômodo de muita gente com as ciências econômicas se dá por não saberem que é uma das áreas do conhecimento melhor equipadas de metodologia para identificar e compreender relações de causa e efeito. E dado que frequentemente as perguntas que fazemos na ciência tem, no fundo,
In 2020 I was one of 7 dems that won a district that Trump won, so I held a series of listening sessions with people who voted for Trump and voted for me to understand their actions. I reread the transcripts yesterday and much of it felt like it could have been said today. THREAD
Yeah we didn’t see it coming. Trump sweeping the swing states was only the (checks notes) likeliest swing state combination in our model.
Unlike Nate Silver, who will try to squirm out of why he didn’t see the election coming, I admit that I was wrong. I will assess the election and the keys on my live show this Thursday at 9 PM Eastern. @allanlichtmanyoutube
“And every four years, we will have suburban housewives in Pennsylvania choose a new president.” “Just Pennsylvania, sir?” “And Wisconsin and Michigan. And maybe Arizona, as a treat.” “No one else can vote, sir?” “They can vote but it won’t matter.”
The electoral college is great, some states would be ignored otherwise!
Can’t believe it didn’t respect the character of the neighborhood 😢 I am sure that this building has remained an annoying eyesore that is broadly hated by New Yorkers to this day!
fucking wild how new York used to look like someone's first cities skylines city
A big reason I’m a liberal is that I believe in progress at a literal level- we can invent a better world for tomorrow than we had yesterday. People with a more socialist mentality don’t really get excited about that. They crave the feeling of community and shared sacrifice. 5/7
Kamala is a billion times more lucid than Trump—She can answer questions like a normal human and discuss topics other than herself. That people remain loyal to Trump despite the vast gap in the candidates' mental acuity makes outrage over Biden's "senility" look so disingenuous.
Uruguiana no RS privatizou seus serviços de águas e esgoto em 2011. Em apenas 8 anos a cidade saiu de 9% de cobertura de esgoto para 96%. Nem toda privatização é boa e nem toda privatização é ruim. O mundo é muito mais complexo.
Eu não entendo, esse pessoal que defende privatização de tudo reclamando dos serviços da ENEL… UAI GENTE, PRIVATIZAÇÃO NÃO É SEMPRE MELHOR?????? E digo mais, esperem pra ver o que vai acontecer com a SABESP após a privatização 😎
the average brazilian political party will be named "progressive labour party of social democracy and LGBT tolerance" and you look at the ideology and it just says "hitler"
One fun thing to do with Claude is have it draw SVG self-portaits. I was curious – if I had it draw pictures of itself, ChatGPT, and Gemini, would another copy of Claude recognize itself? TLDR: Yes it totally recognizes itself, but that’s not the whole story...
1/n Matéria da Folha coloca uma série de afirmações (implícitas e explícitas) de uma extrema fragilidade, qdo não simplesmente equivocadas. Vamos mencionar algumas delas. economia.uol.com.br/noticias/redac…
A Ciência Política brasielira é mesmo muito irrelevante. Parece que tudo que foi produzido na década de 1990 e de 2000 sobre a relação exec/legisl não serve para nada. Vendo/lendo o noticiário, escutando os podcasts, todos os estereótipos que foram desmontados estão de volta. +
O nome disso é janela de overton. Kamala puxou o assunto e fez o extremista trump se comprometer em não fazer algo q seria extremamente caro pra sua base, assim trouxe a discussão pro lado dela. Uma aula pra esquerda hegemonica brasileira q vive de beijar a mão de evangelico.
🇺🇸 Equipe de Donald Trump reage imediatamente ao discurso de Kamala Harris e diz que Donald Trump não vai proibir o aborto nos Estados Unidos.
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