Gareth 🌞
@gwinchBitter/realistic northerner. Lawyer inspired by Lionel Hutz, She-Hulk & Ally McBeal. Mr @tola_o @Gwinch.bsky.social
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#Labourleadership predictions: Corbyn is a disaster but he stays until 2020 and the Tories win by more than 2015
by ensuring the decline of US hegemony the american voting public has proven itself to be the greatest anti-imperial force in the world
Just amazing that the rapid development of a COVID vaccine was the only good thing the Trump administration did, and the response was for the entire Republican Party to turn into anti-vaxx crackpots
Blossoms look like they're about to be wrongfully arrested for a pub bombing in the 1970s
This is the rub. If the Trump admin shuns NATO, clashes with the EU over tariffs, climate, twitter/tech, the EU is not going to align with us on China. They will hedge. We will be the ones isolated.
EU ambassador to China: “What happened a couple of days ago in the US may change the global landscape but it can also be an opportunity for China and Europe to resume more normal relations" scmp.com/news/china/dip…
Still seeing "Harris couldn't turn out millions of Biden voters," and the count in swing states says that's not true. In Wisconsin, Harris got 37k more votes than Biden. The most votes of any Dem candidate since Obama in 2008. She lost bc Trump added 77k more votes since 2020.
Looks like Gen X delivered the White House to Trump.
Here’s the problem for the left: the message here is that Biden was wrong to do fiscal stimulus, and that instead what voters want is an economic policy that keeps service worker wages as low as possible, at all costs, because voters will not tolerate higher prices
The biggest winners of today are Benjamin Netanyahu and Vladimir Putin.
MIssouri voters voting for abortion rights, an increase in the minimum wage, and paid sick leave, and a senator and a president who strongly oppose these things is where we are in a nutshell
Hate to do this, but European states must act now like there is a very good chance that the US will no longer guarantee their security. @edwardstrngr and I wrote this sketch plan of what needs to be considered in just such a case. foreignaffairs.com/europe/plannin…
Just under four hours left in Nevada and Clark County, where Dems need to drive up turnout, already has exceeded its 2020 final Election Day number.
Getting some very early numbers out of Indiana, where polls are now closed. About half of Fort Wayne in, the second largest city in the state: 52-47% Trump. It was 55-43% Trump in 2020.
… but it’s much more fun to stay up and panic over something in which we have literally zero influence…
EU ambassador to China: “What happened a couple of days ago in the US may change the global landscape but it can also be an opportunity for China and Europe to resume more normal relations" scmp.com/news/china/dip…
A little math. The average gender gap since 2004 is 4%. This is 7%. If 90 million vote tomorrow, men will have to vote at 51% to get the gender gap to 4%. The last time more men voted than women on election day was 1976.
As reported, clear gender divide in early voting. Women outpacing men 53% to 44%.
“a culturally divergent view of WW2” you gotta be able to win some sort of prize for this level of euphemism.
No More Brother Wars means pastors have to stop persecuting and seeking to excommunicate men in the church simply because of a culturally divergent view of WW2. That is not—and never has been—a test of creedal orthodoxy.
17.9 million have voted early in the 7 swing states. 1,708,614 more women have voted there than men, 54.9-45.1%. Gender turnout gap grew by 43,700 from Saturday. Turnout gap is F+13%-pts in PA, F+12 in GA, F+11 in NC, F+10 in MI, F+7 in WI, F+5 in AZ, F+0 in NV. Good for Harris.
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