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Gönül Tol

@gonultol

Director of Middle East Institute's Turkish Program / Author of Erdoğan’s War: A Strongman’s Struggle at Home and in Syria/ [email protected]

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Finally received my author copy in the mail. I dedicated “Erdoğan’s War” to Alan Kurdi, the 2-year-old Syrian Kurdish refugee boy who drowned crossing the Mediterranean and to millions of children who have borne the brunt of a senseless war. A short 🧵 thread on the book (1/5)

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Russia’s shadow fleet poses a huge ecological danger, especially in narrow waters. These ships are old, not properly maintained and inadequately insured. Last May, a shadow fleet tanker experienced engine problems while passing through the Turkish Dardanelles strait. Had…

The EU is working on a new package of sanctions aimed at targeting the shadow fleet of tankers Russia is using to get its oil to market, sources say trib.al/Ca0oqen



Here we go. After Trump’s cabinet appointments, pro-Erdogan columnists are saying 👇 “it is impossible not to feel anxious about these appointments….. In his first term, Trump said he would withdraw American troops from Syria but he did not. The US is trying to carve out a…

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Here is my short take on what Trump 2.0 could mean for Turkey-US ties. I argue that Trump’s previous term in office should give Ankara plenty to feel apprehensive about in his second term. Erdoğan voiced enthusiasm at the results of Nov. 5, but he could come to regret it. From…



Temsilciler Meclisi önemli bir yasa tasarısını reddetti. Tasarı, Trump yönetimine, Filistin yanlısı sivil toplum kuruluşlarını 'terör destekçisi' olarak yaftalayıp vergiden muaf statülerini geri çevirmenin önünü açacaktı. Tasarının reddedilmesi iyi haber fakat az farkla…

BREAKING: The House just rejected a bill that could have given the Trump administration the power to crush dissent and go after political enemies. This is a victory for all our right to speak truth to power.



Gönül Tol Reposted

A must read. It’s comforting to think that the strong men/oligarchs will fall out over who is Top Dog and destroy each other. I don’t think Trump will do well in a dog fight till death.

I think there is a bigger point to be made here. From Victor Orban, to Erdogan, Netanyahu and MbS, strongmen around the world are happy about Trump’s win but I can think of many reasons why they should feel anxious. Trump’s “America First” policy, hawkish China and Iran policies…



Gönül Tol Reposted

To read @gonultol's special briefing on the Turkish reaction to Donald Trump’s reelection, please click on the link below. mei.edu/blog/special-b…


I think there is a bigger point to be made here. From Victor Orban, to Erdogan, Netanyahu and MbS, strongmen around the world are happy about Trump’s win but I can think of many reasons why they should feel anxious. Trump’s “America First” policy, hawkish China and Iran policies…

Here is my short take on what Trump 2.0 could mean for Turkey-US ties. I argue that Trump’s previous term in office should give Ankara plenty to feel apprehensive about in his second term. Erdoğan voiced enthusiasm at the results of Nov. 5, but he could come to regret it. From…



Here is my short take on what Trump 2.0 could mean for Turkey-US ties. I argue that Trump’s previous term in office should give Ankara plenty to feel apprehensive about in his second term. Erdoğan voiced enthusiasm at the results of Nov. 5, but he could come to regret it. From…


Trump başkanlığının Türkiye için yaratabileceği problemleri yazdım 👇. Trump'ın birinci döneminde Suriye'de attığı adımlar, uyguladığı gümrük vergileri, meşhur Erdoğan mektubu çok konuşuldu. Yeterince konuşulmayan fakat Türkiye için negatif sonuçlar doğuran politikalardan bir…

Here is my short take on what Trump 2.0 could mean for Turkey-US ties. I argue that Trump’s previous term in office should give Ankara plenty to feel apprehensive about in his second term. Erdoğan voiced enthusiasm at the results of Nov. 5, but he could come to regret it. From…



Gönül Tol Reposted

👉@otaspinar for @Istanpol explores expectations for Turkey-US relations during a second Trump term in the 🇺🇸:

📌 What to expect from 🇹🇷-🇺🇸 relations during the second Trump term? ❝The previous Trump-Erdoğan dynamics should serve as a historical guide for those expecting miracles of a radical departure from current dynamics❞ 📰 Read @otaspinar's analysis ➡️ bit.ly/3YvGChx

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Gönül Tol Reposted

Very informative. Trump Cabinet filling with names who are not keen on Turkey

Here is my short take on what Trump 2.0 could mean for Turkey-US ties. I argue that Trump’s previous term in office should give Ankara plenty to feel apprehensive about in his second term. Erdoğan voiced enthusiasm at the results of Nov. 5, but he could come to regret it. From…



Gönül Tol Reposted

🔴 Trump döneminde Amerika'nın dış politikası 💬 @cakir_rusen,@gonultol ve @otaspinar yorumluyor 📺 Transatlantik, 17:30'da #Medyascope'ta 🔗 youtube.com/live/ptNMA-VVi…

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Gönül Tol Reposted

À lire la contribution de @gonultol sur les défis posés par l'élection de Trump pour la relation turco-américaine, avec un possible approfondissement par Washington des relations gréco-chypriotes-israéliennes, mais aussi une approche plus dure à l'égard de la Chine et de l'Iran.

In this week's special briefing @GorenNimrod, @elgindy_, @AlexVatanka, @IbrahimAlAssil, @gonultol, & @mgweinbaum examine reactions to Donald Trump's reelection in Israel, Palestine, Iran, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and the Gulf states. mei.edu/blog/special-b…



Gönül Tol Reposted

In this week's special briefing @GorenNimrod, @elgindy_, @AlexVatanka, @IbrahimAlAssil, @gonultol, & @mgweinbaum examine reactions to Donald Trump's reelection in Israel, Palestine, Iran, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and the Gulf states. mei.edu/blog/special-b…


Muhammed bin Salman’ın dün söylediklerinin aşağıda anlatmaya çalıştığım değişimi anlamak açısından önemli olduğunu düşünüyorum. MBS İsrail’i İran’a saldırma konusunda uyarıyor ve İran’ın egemenliğine saygı duyulmasını istiyor. Trump’ın birinci döneminde Körfez ülkeleri İran’a…

Brian Hook, Trump’ın geçiş dönemini yönetecek isim. Trump’ın, 2016-2020’de yürüttüğü İran’a “maksimum baskı” politikasına ikinci döneminde de devam edeceğini söylüyor. Bu politikanın şöyle iki tane sorunu var: 1. Ortadoğu dinamikleri 2016-2020’den çok farklı. Körfez ülkeleri…



Great insights on @FareedZakaria ‘s GPS. He argues that one of the mistakes Democrats made was the over zealous use of courts to punish Trump, which backfired and turned Trump into a victim. I had made a similar argument in a January @FT piece, where I argued that Turkey’s…

What just happened? On today’s GPS, I talked w/ @ezraklein & @davidfrum about the election results & their aftermath. Part 1 of our conversation:



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