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Dobby

@dobdob365

Husband, ally, dog dad, solar farm designer, baseball stat fanatic. Dehumanizing people because of their identity/sexuality is hatred, not a "political view."

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The real October Surprise is gonna be the Selzer poll showing Harris +3 lol


Democratic failures in urban areas has been a long-festering issue that has not gotten better. As much as I hate to say it, until we move to the right on homelessness and push through massive housing reforms, we will underperform in every blue state for the rest of time.

I think we - including me - are going to be tearing down Democratic policy, trends, comms, etc. for months to figure out what happened but after sleeping on it here are ten thoughts (that might not be true): 1) Democratic failures in urban governance coming to roost



Philadelphia turnout was abysmal. Seems like it will top out at 90% of 2020's turnout. Meanwhile deep red rural counties nationwide easily surpassed their 2020 totals. I'm sure this will be the story in most major cities across the country.


Thinking of what the guys on @PodSaveAmerica said in their last pre-election episode, where they said we can take solace in the fact that if Trump wins, it's because the country genuinely preferred him and not because Harris or Democrats ran a bad campaign.


Harris really ran the best campaign she possibly could have and it just didn't matter. This country is just so mad about prices and immigration, and the Democratic incumbents were the target. It's completely unfair, and Biden and especially Harris don't deserve this.


Well Florida was an absolute dumpster fire for Dems. Bottom completely fell out. 11 point swing (as of right now) in four years is absolutely insane.


Dobby Reposted

IF YOU ARE IN LINE TO VOTE, STAY IN LINE!!!!


So far this has been my #1 county to watch in the first hour of polls closing. Great sign so far, but I don't think we don't know what the composition of cotes is so far (meaning early or election day) so we'll need to wait for more to come in to know how the suburbs are moving.

We now have 65% of the vote reporting in Hamilton County, Indiana. 2012: R+34 2016: R+19 2020: R+7 2024 so far: D+1 This is likely early vote, so we'll wait for Election Day to roll in before drawing any conclusions, but not a bad start for Harris.



Trump is unraveling before polls even close. I think we might be in for a short night lol

You can't catch me!!!! George Soros bought me a Delorean! #StartTheSteal

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Especially not one of the two guys who was put in charge of turnout.

probably don’t want to hear one of your campaign’s turnout guys saying “turnout not where we need it to be” if you’re Donald Trump right now

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Puerto Rico is getting ready to watch the returns come in

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