Daniel Leichsenring
@danleichEconomista. Posts com visões pessoais.
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Podcast @mmakersoficial com Samuel Pessoa, Marcos Lisboa e Alexandre Manoel youtu.be/hol-W6TUig0?si…
Editorial do Globo sobre gastos pré eleitorais, repercutindo estudo feito com Samuel Pessoa, Marcos Lisboa e Alexandre Manoel
O experimento econômico de Donald Trump braziljournal.com/o-experimento-…
O experimento econômico de Donald Trump ✍️ Daniel Leichsenring @danleich braziljournal.com/o-experimento-…
Bill Clinton On the Palestinians: “And the only time Yasser Arafat didn't tell me the truth was when he promised me he was gonna accept the peace deal that we had worked out, which would have given the Palestinians a state on 96% of the West Bank and 4% of Israel, and they got…
"Keep your eye on one thing and one thing only: how much government is spending. Because that's the true tax. If you're not paying for it in the form of explicit taxes, you're paying for it in the form of inflation or borrowing." - Milton Friedman youtube.com/watch?v=kci9xi…
1/2 10-year yields and crude oil are breaking from their relationship (red box). This divergence started around October 6.
#National @Ipsos / @ABC poll: Harris 51% (+4) Trump 47% Oliver 1% West 0% Stein 0% 1,913 LV, 10/18-22 abcnews.go.com/Politics/harri…
Net favorability ratings for the Democratic and Republican presidential tickets over time. (Chart rom WSL ELECTION<GO>)
Fernando Luís Schüler , @fernandoschuler , gaúcho, é um filósofo, professor universitário, articulista, cientista político e consultor de empresas e organizações civis nas áreas de cultura e ciências políticas.Fez esse discurso ao receber o Prêmio “Liberdade de Imprensa 2024”:
Today's update. It's been a pretty bad run of national polls for Harris; her lead in our national polling average is down to 1.3 points. Still practically a toss-up, but the Electoral College / popular vote gap is likely to be wider than that. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-…
No Brasil, um Ministro do STF pode, sozinho, derrubar artigos de uma emenda à Constituição, aprovada por 3/5 dos votos de cada uma das casas legislativas, em dois turnos de votação.
The recent political polarisation of Silicon Valley is really striking. 25 years ago most big tech and VC execs were moderates. Then the whole sector shifted gradually leftwards up until 2020, and now suddenly we have a sharp divide into Democrat-backers and Trump backers.
delegadas da PF poderão se aposentar com 52 anos, apesar do Congresso ter deliberado por 55 na Constituição. estadao.com.br/economia/dino-…
Today's update. It's now literally 50/50. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-…
Some 𝐈𝐍𝐒𝐀𝐍𝐄 Rafael Nadal Records that may never be broken. 🧵 A thread
Recall the October beige book is what did it for Powell for him to pivot last December. This beige book is even worse than that one. I think Powell is going to strongly push for a 50 bps now.
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