Daniel Topal
@daniel_topalEnvironmental Physics PhD from 🇭🇺postdoc at @UCLouvain_be focusing on polar sea-ice variability & music producer for fun
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🚨New Review! Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean The earliest ice-free conditions in the Arctic could occur in 2020–2030s under all emission trajectories & are likely to occur by 2050 nature.com/articles/s4301… @SeaIceClimate @CUBoulderATOC @INSTAAR @CUBoulder @NCAR_CGD
New study: the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”. The paper by Dutch colleagues adds more weight to recent warnings, such as the OECD Climate Tipping Points report of 2022 and the Global Tipping Points report published 2023. realclimate.org/index.php/arch…
Happy to have been involved in this review led by Prof. Edward Hanna . Thanks to all coauthors , I too learnt a lot in the process.
🚨New Review! Short- and long-term variability of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets @NorskPolar @Mittuni @AakritiS001 @AliBanwell @CIRESnews @daniel_topal @ales_silvano @UoLGeography @NSIDC @ruth_mottram @climate_ice nature.com/articles/s4301… Free: rdcu.be/dygGh
Out today! Our new Review paper in @NatRevEarthEnv "Short- and long-term variability of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets" nature.com/articles/s4301…
The conclusions about caution of model projections due to dynamical biases are much in line with what we know for Arctic sea ice ( nature.com/articles/s4155… )Could be interesting if there is a common driver behind underestimated dynamics in models between the Arctic and midlat too
Heat extremes in Western Europe warmed faster than simulated. Our new @NatureComms paper led by @RobertVautard shows that this due to more frequent southerly flows, an observed atmospheric circulation trend, which is larger than in climate models. nature.com/articles/s4146…
Honored to have received the young researcher award 2023 of the V4 countries’ academies for my research in the context of polar climate change.
The ‘Polar Amplification and lower latitude connections’ AGU23 session already has a nice lineup of abstracts (incl mine 😏). Submissions are still open until 2 Aug, consider if interested👇🏼 session by @polar_james Yutian Wu Lantao Sun Qinghua Ding agu.confex.com/agu/fm23/preli…
Winds of change in Arctic sea-ice sensitivity earthenvironmentcommunity.nature.com/posts/winds-of… #BehindThePaper
We highlight tropical Pacific drivers of Arctic and Greenland ice loss. Convection changes (lower frequency than ENSO) in the tropics is key to drive atmospheric Rossby-waves into the Arctic, but these low frequency changes are not fully captured in CMIP. nature.com/articles/s4155…
Sea Ice Is Going, but When Will It Be Gone? A nice comparison of Min et al. and our work 👇 eos.org/articles/sea-i…
Only a week after a new study was published that showed the first ice-free Arctic about decade earlier than IPCC, another high-impact @NatureClimate study comes that suggests an ice-free Arctic a decade later! nature.com/articles/s4155…
New paper in @NatureComms predicts that the first ice-free Arctic in September will occur as early as the 2030s–2050s, irrespective of emission scenarios. That is about decade earlier than previously thought. nature.com/articles/s4146…
Bad news: emissions-driven wind changes are likely not well enough represented in climate models. Good news: when correcting for this issue, the first occurrence of a sea-ice-free Arctic is actually delayed. More details in @NatureClimate Free access: rdcu.be/deluw
Topal, D.-Discrepancies between observations and climate models of large-scale wind-driven ... orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/29… #OA
A better representation of wind-driven warming processes in models has potential for lessening sea-level rise projections uncertainties associated with Greenland melt. 👉👉 out today @NatureComms with @xavierfettweis @zhelzlz and others not on twitter nature.com/articles/s4146…
Our new paper on tropical forcing of jet stream waviness is out today in @NatureComms nature.com/articles/s4146…
Our new paper is out today. I led this project to refine future hydroclimate uncertainties in Central Europe based on large ensembles. link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Don't forget the next SMILE webinar is tomorrow!
Summer 2020 Variations: New research on climate variability and change using initial-condition Large Ensembles. Guest editors Clara Deser & Keith Rodgers. Read it ➡️ indd.adobe.com/view/20699135-… Corresponding webinar on September 8 @ 10am EDT ➡️ usclivar.org/webinars
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