@bullet86 Profile picture

Geoff Garbacz

@bullet86

Head of Quantitative Partners Inc (QPI). Partner in Erlanger Research Inc. and Erlanger's Good Morning Wall Street. Partnered with several alpha research shops.

Joined December 2008
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Pinned

"The art of living is more like wrestling than dancing, because an artful life requires being prepared to meet and withstand sudden and unexpected attacks" - Marcus Aurelius, Meditations, 7.61.


This idea makes a ton of sense in the current environment!! Click through to read about it.

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This is the type of stuff that causes a war or at a minimum some type of retribution. Watch to see how this plays out.

🚨🇨🇳NATO TO CHINA: YOU CUT OUR INTERNET CABLES?! The Yi Peng 3, a 225-meter Chinese cargo ship, allegedly dragged its anchor for over 100 miles in the Baltic Sea, severing two vital fiber-optic cables. These cables handle trillions in financial transactions and internet…

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Could $SPY get to $602 today? Yes sir, as resistance on the #Erlangervaluelines is at $601.96. The Valuelines are only available on Bloomberg right now.

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$SPY is trying to clear $600 but the real number is what today? #Erlangervaluelines resistance is the red line at $600.53. A break under pivot (dark green line) at $597.86 seems unlikely. This study is only available on Bloomberg in the APP store.

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Watch our latest video on Biotech stocks and $SAVA in particular. Playing Biotech Names as Short Squeezes where the shorts get it right historically is not a good way to go through life. us02web.zoom.us/rec/share/Da58…


Want to understand the impact of shorts on $GAP that is up 21.37% in the pre-market? Then click through.

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We were at a conference Tuesday and got asked about $SMMT and told the person that I would post on our QPI Morning Note which I did today. So comments are there if you want to see. Signup is free.

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Geoff Garbacz Reposted

We can disagree on politics but we can all agree that we all want Mike Tyson to knock out Jake paul.


Funny.

"Hello darkness, my old friend I've come to buy some Puts with you again Because the VIX softly creeping Left its seeds while I was sleeping And the VIX low that was planted in my brain, Still remains, With the sound of monkeys" "Sound of Monkeys" - by Shrub & Garfunkel



A typical Democrat is going to say, "...oh he is on Fox this is a bad choice". As Lee Corso would say, "Not so fast my friend." Pete is a stud in every sense of the word. Watch this short interview to get a sense of the man.

Before you start freaking out about Pete Hegseth, let me educate you. Pete has a bachelors from Princeton, a Masters from Harvard, 2 bronze stars, was a Major in the Army National Guard, has served in both Iraq and Afghanistan (has a CIB), and listen to this…



How To Piss Off Nick Saban?youtube.com/shorts/n1-uGVx… via @YouTube Answer: It is a classic and should be applied to stocks and the economy.


Pivot today on the #Erlangervaluelines is $598.63 which we are below, so support needs to be watched at $597.09 which is only down a $1 from here. A/D Line is -1600 from -900 a bit earlier this morning.


Classic Powell answer: Q: What is the plan if we have stagflation? A: The plan is not to have it. Ask a stupid question and get a wise ass answer. Nice Jerome.


Today was a "powerful upside move" according to @michaelsantoli Really? SPY opened at 589.20 and closed at 591.03 which is a move of 1.83 which into a range of 14.35 sees only 12.80% of the day over day range captured during market hours. Hardly powerful but to each their own...


With less than an hour $SPY is sloppy. #ErlangerValueline sees support at 569.25 and pivot at 572.40. Looks like we close in between maybe at $571.


Da Bears ...best review of yesterday's Hail Mary. Bears' Coach is not high on their list of genius coaches.

Must watch breakdown of every angle of the Hail Mary from ESPN. Mike Greenberg on Matt Eberflus comments postgame: “that’s one of the five dumbest things I’ve heard a human being say in any context.” #DaBears #Bears #ChicagoBears



Trying to figure out how to play the next two weeks. Read our paid content on quantpartners.substack.com where our morning note is free but content is not. Content and trading ideas are out 1-2 times a week. Giving you a taste of our more advanced research. Subscribe for $9.95 a…

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So a key day for $SPY. Can we get above the closing all time high at $584.59 today and close above it making a new all time high?


Second video mentioned for those on Fred's Weekly Conference Call. Interview this morning with Kevin Warsh former Federal Reserve Governor on the inability of the Fed to have a good handle on inflation. They rely on "data dependency" which make it look like they are "politically…


For those listening to Fred's Weekly Conference Call here is the podcast mentioned from Bloomberg today worth a listen to on short term rates dropping and long term rates rising: bloomberg.com/news/audio/202…


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