Shiladitya Bose
@bosechemA happy go lucky guy. A complete Bhakt. Had taken a 6-month sabbatical from twitter. Lost all my tweets and followers in the process.
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The demographic population of Undivided Bengal in 1869-71 when the census was held. The report was published in 1872. @TrueIndology @Antardrshti @MandarSawant184 @bipbhat @bosec
Factually incorrect. @TrueIndology Pl check 1871 census report released by the British. District wise demographic population of Undivided Bengal was published. Other than Chittagong hill tracts, ALL regions of present Bangladesh was M majority. @Antardrshti @bipbhat @bosechem
Factually incorrect. @TrueIndology Pl check 1871 census report released by the British. District wise demographic population of Undivided Bengal was published. Other than Chittagong hill tracts, ALL regions of present Bangladesh was M majority. @Antardrshti @bipbhat @bosechem
Here is a very important history lesson: Until 1861, Bangladesh region was majority Hindu. Hindus were ahead of Muslims in wealth, literacy, HDI etc. Most Zamindars were Hindus. But Hindus were below Muslims in one important factor. That was it. That one important factor…
Add 1 from J&K. @Antardrshti @bosech
Aftermath of Maharashtra elections In 2026 BJP will gain 6 seats in Rajya Sabha and touch the tally of 102, just 10 short of majority Maharashtra +1 Odisha +1 West Bengal +1 Bihar +2 Chhattisgarh +2 Himachal Pradesh -1 Gujarat +1 Jharkhand - 1 Madhya Pradesh +1 Karnataka -1
In the current political phase, a direct cash transfer scheme for women without leakages is the real WINNER. It encompasses all parties & ideologies. But its effectiveness as a vote catcher post 2029 is to be seen, i.e beyond 1-2 elex cycles. @Antardrshti @BafnaHiiren @bosechem
Maharashtra Elections 2024 🚨 Maharashtra:9.7 Crores 1️⃣Total Voters • 6.4 Crores ✔️🎉 • Overall turnout: 66.03% 📈 2️⃣Voter Turnout by Gender • Male Voters: 3.3 Crores – 66.80% turnout 👨 • Female Voters: 3.06 Crores – 65.21% turnout 🙋♀️ 📉 Low Turnout in Urban Areas
Polling nos. in Maharashtra has crossed 66% as per ECI website. Currently it stands at 66.05%. @Antardrshti @MandarSawant184 @bosec
Currently, ECI app shows 65.11% polling in Maharashtra. Fig can touch 66% by the time the complete data comes thru. Add 1.5% postal ballots. Final fig may be ~67.5%, i.e a 6% jump over 2019. @Antardrshti @MandarSawant184 @bosechem
Women voters outnumbered men by 4.8% in the first phase of polling in Jharkhand. In second phase, the difference was 4.5%. @Antardrshti @bosec
Main reason is historically high turnout in Jharkhand. Unless tomorrow date says women vote is 6% higher than Men, NDA is through
Currently, ECI app shows 65.11% polling in Maharashtra. Fig can touch 66% by the time the complete data comes thru. Add 1.5% postal ballots. Final fig may be ~67.5%, i.e a 6% jump over 2019. @Antardrshti @MandarSawant184 @bosechem
Cong won 16 seats with 13.9% voteshare in 2019 JH assembly polls. @anish3456789
Yes look at this vs. They are claiming cong gonna win 13-16 seats with 13% vs which is absurd imo. But let's see what happens. 😅
I guess Axis poll gives 28% to JMM, 13% to Cong & 4% to RJD/Left. Total - 45%. @anish3456789
Disagree with you on this point. Let's say bjp vote get cut. Then jmm will win sure. But how does jmm vs increase? Bjp vs may decrease to 35% and jmm stay at 40% and jmm win. But how is jmm going up to 47%?
1 point which Pradip Gupta @AxisMyIndia made on Jharkhand, sounded logical. It was the Tiger Mahto factor. His party JKLM is polling ~8%, which were primarily NDA OBC votes. This shift has toppled NDA apple cart. Repeat of RajT factor during 2009 MH polls. @Antardrshti @bosechem
Even if chappa voting is there, it can never, repeat never be captured in any exit poll / post poll survey. The ppl carrying out chappa voting, execute their job after ensuring "all is well." They wud never talk to pollsters after chappa voting @Antardrshti @bosechem
Even if chappa voting is there, it can never, repeat never be captured in any exit poll / post poll survey. The ppl carrying out chappa voting, execute their job after ensuring "all is well." They wud never talk to pollsters after chappa voting @Antardrshti @bosechem
3 possibilities 1. He went out of business so went full rogue hoping that this time he ends up on the other side 2. He went out of business so sold out to a lingual entity and gave wrong predictions to back their fake claims of EVM hacking 3. West Bengal style chappa voting…
FYI, I didn't predict Jharkhand. I only forwarded a WA msg on Maharashtra trends as received from a credible source, which was as per his understanding. @ViratHindu24 @bosechem
Done and Dusted it seems in Jharkhand. @bosechem Predictions seems to be coming true he predicted rout for Nda in Maharashtra and Jharkhand.
Had just forwarded a WA msg from a credible source. Personally, I am totally aloof from actual ground happenings. Haven't got a clue on the direction of the हवा! Just like Haryana nos, I wud be the happiest if proven wrong on counting day. @Thewisest_one @Antardrshti @bosechem
Nobody knows what the hell they are talking abouts. All these analysis makes sense post poll. Even if his predicitons go right, it would be lucky. India is not easy to do psephology
Post 2024 disaster, I hv hugely toned down my passion for politics. These days, I just talk to my old contacts near to the voting day. Nothing else. @ViratHindu24 @antar
@bosechem is really credible tweeple he has sources and roots from good places. So it is indeed a tragedy despite all efrorts Mahayuti losing Maharashtra and Jharkhand.
Thx Bro. @ViratHindu24 No idea about Jharkhand. For Maharashtra, forwarded a WA message from a credible source. For me; am totally aloof from ground situation.
@bosechem is really credible tweeple he has sources and roots from good places. So it is indeed a tragedy despite all efrorts Mahayuti losing Maharashtra and Jharkhand.
That's why he mentions Cong + NCP(SP+AP) + Others/IND @A_G951 BTW, these aren't my nos. Am totally aloof from the ground. Just forwarded a WA message from a person who has a fairly good record in Maharashtra.
I doubt. Compare 2024 LS with 2019 LS voting % in Maharashtra. 2019 - 60.85% 2024 - 61.32%. And the results......…🤔 @thepheonixguy
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Game over for Mahayuti and Nda in Maharashtra and Jharkhand?
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