Tim Nesbitt
@TimNesbittORWriter; urban migrant; part-time, fair weather hobby farmer, learning that apples-to-apples comparisons are challenging with 130 varieties on your trees.
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Interesting tidbit from the state economist, abt a spike in state income tax receipts: "initial pickup in withholding appears to be related to $1.3 billion Powerball jackpot winnings in the state." Like when a gambler hits it big and says, That gets me even for the last decade.
Democrats are quick to point out when Republicans are making a big deal over little things, like who can use whose bathrooms. But then the Ds make a big deal out of the Rs making a big deal over those same little things. So it goes.
The graph is misleading since online virtual instruction is counted as zero. My granddaughter took online instruction for four years; she's now attending in-person HS. The four years in online instruction weren't ideal, but they kept her on pace and shouldn't be treated as zero.
If you are wondering why your elementary and middle schoolers are struggling in school, this might begin to explain why. We basically didn't have them attend school for two years... If you are curious about the source and methodology (you should be) you can check it out here.…
In Portland's City Council races, despite all the complications of up to 6 votes per voter and transferable vote fractions, the results IN EVERY INSTANCE would have been the same if all voters had just one vote for their preferred candidate in a first-past-the-post election
Selzer doesn't do what most pollsters are doing this year, which is to give weight to how respondents say they voted in 2020. Instead, she is forward focused and better able to capture a changing dynamic. Seems highly credible to me.
My take on the Selzer poll: 1. You can't talk about how accurate Selzer is, and how critical this poll will be before it is released, then hedge when it comes out with a result you didn't expect. This poll is almost certainly accurate, and...1/
Election realities: -The gender gap is huge, favoring Harris, -Women vote in higher numbers than men, -Ds turnout efforts are superior in the battleground states. Harris will win the election, but she'll need a campaign 2.0 to win the White House. That begins Nov. 6
Great commentary! Worth reading. Collaboration by Oregon, Idaho and Washington’s ‘Three Musketeers’ led to golden age of governors oregoncapitalchronicle.com/2024/10/10/col… via @ORCapChronicle
Measure 118 overreaches, but does contain some ‘concepts of a plan’ for improving our tax system oregoncapitalchronicle.com/2024/10/08/mea… via @ORCapChronicle
Lawmakers didn't "do the work" in fashioning Measure 116, but proponents are overworking the rhetoric in support of it. More democratic and accountable? I don't think so. Legislature falls short on proposing salary commission in M 116 oregoncapitalchronicle.com/2024/10/01/leg… via @ORCapChronicle
At this time of year, we're reminded that drone swarms were invented by...stink bugs!
Corey Lewandowski: "I have no obligation to be honest with the media.” JVL on lying liars knowing no shame. The Kamala Prediction Accountability Project thebulwark.com/p/the-kamala-p…
From @Noahpinion: "The Trump campaign is predicting..magical growth effects from tax cuts, and also..magical growth effects from tariff hikes. If it sounds suspicious to claim that tax hikes and tax cuts both boost growth, well, that’s because it is." open.substack.com/pub/noahpinion…
Yes! Workforce standards board could raise the tide for all workers oregoncapitalchronicle.com/2024/09/03/wor… via @ORCapChronicle
Sorry, @Oregonian newsroom, but I'd bet dollars to donuts that we'll never see this scenario: No 1st, 2nd or 3rd round winners! More likely: Winners will emerge in Round 1 & 2 and their voters 2nd/3rd choices will count before any others. oregonlive.com/politics/2024/…
Glad to see the old fashioned come out on top. But the question remains - glazed or plain? Here’s how Portland’s one-of-a-kind City Council elections will work – but with doughnuts oregonlive.com/politics/2024/…
The most consequential dynamic in the new structure, TBD in its first years, is how the Mayor will wield power vis-a-vis the Council and its President.
Huh? The only power that the council prez has under the charter is presiding over council. The rest is current council & staff playing Model Congress. New council will set its own internal rules. And city administrator is “responsible for…administration of all city affairs.”
The Council President will control the agenda for the Council. Note the sign-off power cited in this article. Plus they will only become President with 7 or more votes, giving them the initial power of speaking for a Council majority. Compare how the mayor is described here.
Huh? The only power that the council prez has under the charter is presiding over council. The rest is current council & staff playing Model Congress. New council will set its own internal rules. And city administrator is “responsible for…administration of all city affairs.”
Key takeaway: The most powerful person in Portland's new city government will be, not the mayor, but the Council President. Portland is overhauling its voting system and government structure. Here’s what you need to know opb.org/article/2024/0…
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