TechDev
@TecchDev_25Entrepreneur | #Bitcoin and crypto analysis
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Few signals have correlated with #Bitcoin 's macro inflections as tightly as China's 10-year yield. Local tops at major $BTC impulse tops. Local CN10Y downtrend breaking with 3W RSI exceeding 50... Began each of #Bitcoin 's last 3 largest moves.
Only twice has #bitcoin 's 20W EMA crossed above its 200W EMA. October 2015, and 2 weeks ago.
#Altcoin cap / $BTC confluent with early stage #bitcoin parabola. Discussed in yesterday’s issue. Sub link in bio.
Last time cash at new ATH market bottomed. Market is a voting machine. Everything priced in back from the future. Efficient market never mispriced. $SPX 3,900 discount don't panic. Secular rally typically 21 years: 1942 1968 1974 1999 2009 2032. Would it be different this time?
📌 Cash The prior two surges in US money market fund assets, in 2008 and 2020, the Fed cut interest rates 👉 isabelnet.com/blog/ h/t @BofAML #markets #moneymarket #assetallocation #assets #money #funds #flows #confidence #investing
Diagonal weekly RSI resistance still in play twitter.com/TechDev_52/sta…
Previous read was likely one SOW too early. Though invalidation for the thesis exists and is discussed in the issue. twitter.com/TechDev_52/sta…
Flip TOTAL2/BTC from the OP upside down. Basically $BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance). I believe we're seeing HTF redistribution. Now, distribution and accumulation can be deceptively similar, where folks often mistake the "spring" for the last SOW. Volume gives it away imo. 4/
In latest issue: - Signs of a $BTC dominance reversal - $ETHBTC outlook and implications for #altcoins - Short-term $BTC scenarios And... Official launch of the new TradingView #Bitcoin Top Gauge indicators. Available to all members. Sub link in bio.
Just an observation… $ETH is currently consolidating right on top of its 5D 200EMA. And the 20EMA has just crossed above. The last time this exact setup was seen was mid-July 2020. $ETH was $230, and it then proceeded to move to $4400 over the next 10 months.
The real advantage is in learning/building an approach that allows you to think for yourself (and/or critically agree/disagree with the bigshots). $ES_F
The speed at which the market and sentiment can change will shock many. Been that way for 14 years. 95% of the move happens in 5% of the time.
Some $PEPE capitulation was needed. I think they’ll be back.
This looks like a repeat of 2020 minus a pandemic DXY vs #Bitcoin comparison
“If I put $500 in $PEPE 3 weeks ago it’d be worth over $2M now.” No. If you put $500 in 3 weeks ago and watched it go to: $5k $50k $100k $200k… and did nothing Then watched $200k go to $60k and still did nothing Then watched $60k go to $750k and still did nothing…
damn bro... How do you connect this to cny10/dxy correlation?
$NI 225 - 12 day chart. Clean break out from a multi-month consolidation and now proceeding for a blow off top. US markets won't remain behind for very long.
Crypto been following the Nikkei for 6 years. Look at the chart and draw your own conclusions.
Four days ago the #Bitcoin USD index closed its 2-month candle over the Bollinger band basis (20MA). Third time since 2009. The other two times? Price went to the top band before a red 2-month candle. Top band currently sits at 61K.
United States Trends
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