J Granger
@Steven08452710technology consultant, investor/trader, former amateur futures trader, former engineer, wanna be scientist, sailor, cat servant
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Bookmark this. Keep this. Remember this. Watch it often. Memorize it. Learn it. Understand it. Grasp it. Believe it. And never forget it. Ever.
$ES Live chart with built in 🔸 👸Vanna 🦥 Charm flows 🔸 🪟 Window of non-strength #VIXpiration 🔸 Monthly + Quarterly #OPex ✍️ dates are calculated. dates of actual expirations / flows may vary tradingview.com/chart/OZR6rLUH/
People are worried they're late to this move. Every mid-cycle breakout before gave at least 300 days of upside. Sure, it could be shorter this time, but... Calling it too late after 10 days is ridiculous. Plus, Altseason happens in this phase.
It is extremely rare that the Dollar outperforms strongly when risk assets are rallying hard. But this is what happened last week, with the election result obviously the key catalyst
🚨MARKET EUPHORIA IS AN UNDERSTATEMENT🚨 Asset managers' net long positions on the S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq futures are now the second-highest in 15 YEARS. They are now only slightly below the 2021 levels seen before the 2022 bear market. Professionals are all in stocks.
As Secretary Janet Yellen is asked about her concerns over the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency… The Treasury Department sign falls off. The universe always finds a way to make us laugh.
Falling value of a dollar will do that. "They become suddenly aware of the fact that inflation is a deliberate policy and will go on endlessly. A breakdown occurs. The crack-up boom appears. Everybody is anxious to swap his money against "real" goods, no matter ... how much…
If this is accurate, it can be a big deal. It would be a massive economic stimulus event, which will only increase with more Fed cuts. --- In its Consumer sentiment survey, the University of Michigan asks about the size of a respondent's stock portfolio (including ETFs, mutual…
Now that the trend in commodities has turned lower, don't be surprised if trends start to favor bonds > stocks. himountresearch.substack.com/p/bonds-gain-s…
#Households continue to boost their #allocations to #stocks, which is now at the highest level on record. h/t @thedailyshot
"As momentum stocks lose their upward momentum (for now), the ratio of the S&P 500 equal-weighted to market-cap weighted indexes should continue to rise." @yardeni @ericwallerstein
"Recessions start when curves are re-steepening and not when close to their maximum inversion point. Indeed, the last 4 recessions only began once the curve was positive again" Deutsche Bank
The VIX The $VIX often stays subdued with lower highs in late-cycle environments due to investor complacency and crowded short-volatility trades. Yet, a 52-week high in the VIX has preceded every recessionary bear market in recent history.
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