Christopher McKee
@PRS_GroupDr Christopher McKee, CEO & Owner of The PRS Group and Executive Chair of the ICRG: For 45 years, the world's leading quant-driven geopolitical risk firm.
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With EM debt issuance hitting a record so far in '24 (+$50bn) calculating sovereign spreads can be tricky for investors. Consider this seminal piece by Cam Harvey on extracting that part of the sovereign spread that is due to ‘pure’ political risk. (lnkd.in/egs93myk)
"ICRG measures...reflect the degree of social tension within society...which could affect large infrastructure projects and the repayment of the loans provided for their development." J Mullner & S Dorobantu Journal of International Business Policy, (2022) #geopolitics
Consider the empirical relationship between youth unemployment and political instability. New study on #IGAD countries using our ICRG data. (tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…) #Djibouti #Ethiopia #Kenya #Somalia #Uganda #geopolitics #DataAnalytics #ArtificialInteligence
"The ICRG provides researcher with a comprehensive and robust data set covering 40 years. I use the data in my cross-national research, and it has been critical in quantifying country-specific measures in panel data analysis." Brandon Parsons, PhD Pepperdine University
New findings from the IMF Working Paper series where the ICRG data were used: Fintech's impact on financial stability in a panel of 198 countries over the period 2012–2020.(lnkd.in/gdmDWRtb)
New Bank for International Settlements Working Paper using our ICRG financial risk ratings as a proxy for debt sustainability concerns. What is the impact of public debt surprises on inflation?
June’s ICRG risk ratings for Europe are arriving, complete with new corruption data. Look for improvements in Greece, Albania, and Bulgaria, while higher levels of risk in the data for Latvia, Malta, and Portugal. Also, when time permits have a look at…lnkd.in/gAX5qjEh
June’s ICRG risk ratings for Asia are arriving. Look for improvements in Indonesia, South Korea, and Thailand, while higher levels of risk in the data for Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. And Have a look at the findings of the NBER published study on th…lnkd.in/gygBXK4J
With hopes dwindling of rate cuts later this year in the US – following unexpected hikes from central banks in Canada and Australia – attention is recentered on the effect on some emerging markets’ currencies and debt repayments. But what complicates the…lnkd.in/gFWCRXkY
Given the recent slump in some global bonds, understanding the empirical relationship between political risk and inflation is worthwhile. So, to what extent does political risk explain differences in inflation levels across countries? This interesting…lnkd.in/g3vhaR_S
Always happy to see our ICRG being used and cited in major scholarly journals. This time we have entries in the Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis; the EuroMed Journal of Business; and the International Journal of Economics and Financial Stud…lnkd.in/gwAY46Ar
Italy's access to EU funds, treatment of 'foreign investors,' and burgeoning debt load; protests and Poland's power struggles with the EU; wooing Algeria and the prospects for reform; Taiwan's election season kicks off and the viability of the KMT's 'Thir…lnkd.in/gSup935X
Argentina’s liquidity issue; a modicum of stability returns to Peru; Italy avoids ‘junk’ status; Socialists emerge victorious in Albania’s local vote; Zambia’s IMF support comes through; constitutional reform in Mongolia; hopeful signs in Thailand; Turkey…lnkd.in/gqJ7UkrB
#investment The ‘backlash’ against the greenback; how ICRG data are used to draw the connection between global political shocks and currency investment strategies; engaging several European universities; the significance of granular, long-stated political…lnkd.in/gjrWjFgw
To what extent does having higher ‘bureaucratic capacity’ than one’s negotiating counterpart increase a state’s ability to reach agreement on unbalanced compromises that favor their position, and help them shift their counterpart’s position during negotia…lnkd.in/g2MJKc_M
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$AVAX network has launched the $SNEK #Airdrop for the community. Check your eligibility and claim your #SNEK tokens at: 🔗 snek.finance $ETH $MONG $AIDOGE $KING $BTC $TURBO $GUAC $REKT $PEPE $SUI $RIZZ $BOB $BTC $MUSK $BOB $SHIB $WSB $WOJAK #memecoin #MONG $PECHU
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