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Neo

@NeoWave_crypto

I enjoy to share Elliott Wave count scenarios with the EW community. I follow Neely approach, my counts might seems weird for traditional Elliotician.

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$BTC #bitcoin overall cycle update Bearish for 2022, but long term Bullish unless we brake below 8K, I have no reason to believe that the growth curve will not continue the upward trend. Details in quoted tweet & on the chart twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin Bottom ? My view is that is you try to take all highs and lows grows curve from the history, there is a confluence around 10K between mid sep 2022 and mid feb 2023. This is inline with my EW count of quoted twit twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin I still think that it is not the right moment to go heavily in Alts either BTC will pump and Alts will not follow, or BTC dump and Alts dump harder. Ideal top would be 60-61% (I excluding stables). twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin It do not really matter if BTC will brake 30K area and pump (leaving alts behind) or if it will reject and dump hard (with alts to goblin town). In both case, Alts should have their strong push after that.

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$BTC #Bitcoin This is the chart that prevent me to be bullish (yet) on crypto. I dont understand how the market can pump without any inflow of FIAT to Stables. There is the first support in about a month (if the same rate of decline continue).

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$SPX #SP500 This is my primary scenario as of today. I am bullish on stocks. twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$SPX #SP500 update I usually don't like many scenarios, but the current situation offers several realistic options. Primary: Hard Landing (Terminal) Secondary: Bullish triangle Alternate: Soft Landing (Diametric) twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #bitcoin TOTAL The flat has been invalidated on BTC, but the FLAT looks clean on TOTAL Time ratio would be perfect if we would top soon C=1.618*A or (A+B)/2 That could explain the inverse behaviour of ETH on yellow wave-A vs. BTC on wave-C twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin Following yesterday's dump, the least probable is now 38.2% at 17K as we are already 50% from the target after just 15% of the time elapsed. Most likely now is 100% extension at 9.8K. Let's recheck after the weekly close. twitter.com/neowave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin if you like geometry

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$BTC #Bitcoin Following yesterday's dump, the least probable is now 38.2% at 17K as we are already 50% from the target after just 15% of the time elapsed. Most likely now is 100% extension at 9.8K. Let's recheck after the weekly close. twitter.com/neowave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin There is a cycle low around 20th of March, then 1st of May. The ABC Count would work better with a low around 1st of May as the C can't be shorter in time than A. C must break A at 17.5K (zigzag) C targets: 38.2%: 17K 61.8%: 13.8K 100%: 9.8K 161.8%: 5.6K

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$BTC #Bitcoin As of today, it is very unlikely that we could brake 10K by 1st April, so it is unlikely that the overall BTC cycle got the cycle 5 top in 2022 I will wait for the April invalidation to update the overall cycle with an alternative count twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

$BTC #Bitcoin I have to revise my macro count timing because it is now too short to retrace the bull run by mid-Feb I took the bull run start from the wrong point (Oct 2020), and the correct start is July 2020 which coincides with the CME GAP 🧵 1/4 twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin There is a cycle low around 20th of March, then 1st of May. The ABC Count would work better with a low around 1st of May as the C can't be shorter in time than A. C must break A at 17.5K (zigzag) C targets: 38.2%: 17K 61.8%: 13.8K 100%: 9.8K 161.8%: 5.6K

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$BTC #Bitcoin a reminder

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$BTC #Bitcoin My view is that the period around 1st April will be a great time to invest long-term in crypto (with at least 12 months TF). By March we should get validation/invalidation points on the price level to expect for this long-term bottom. twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin Quoted twit remains my primary. Violent dump no later 15-Feb is mandatory. If, instead, we get a sideway consolidation after the current rally top, or if we don't return below 17K by early-march, then this count would not work. twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…



$BTC #Bitcoin It is risky to ignore the lack of money flowing into the crypto. We had it in 2019, but still not yet as of now. Can we get a true bullrun without new money flowing into stable ? twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin Comparing 2018 bottom with now, the price action is very similar for the initial pump. The big problem is that the pump happened without new flow of money. to confirm a new phase, we would need BTC to goes sideways and Stable Coin increase (inflow of money)

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$SPX #SP500 update Since we broke up 4180, I have to discard the bullish triangle and revert back to the only two initial scenarios. If we don't get any violent dump by mid-Feb and break down 3900 with a daily close, I will join the bull team 🙂 twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$SPX #SP500 update I usually don't like many scenarios, but the current situation offers several realistic options. Primary: Hard Landing (Terminal) Secondary: Bullish triangle Alternate: Soft Landing (Diametric) twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin Comparing 2018 bottom with now, the price action is very similar for the initial pump. The big problem is that the pump happened without new flow of money. to confirm a new phase, we would need BTC to goes sideways and Stable Coin increase (inflow of money)

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#Crypto $others update I use OTHERS as proxy for cryptos because it excludes BTC/ETH/main stablecoins that are in the hands of market makers & whales (reflect better retails) The slope of wave-A is identical to Wave-C with ideal top this Sunday 29th Jan twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin Based on this OTHERS index (all shitcoins excluding big ones), the ideal top for this rally would be around Sunday, 29th Jan. I trust this chart more than any other specific coin chart for the overall crypto sentiment. twitter.com/neowave_crypto…

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$SPX #SP500 update I usually don't like many scenarios, but the current situation offers several realistic options. Primary: Hard Landing (Terminal) Secondary: Bullish triangle Alternate: Soft Landing (Diametric) twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$SPX #SP500 update as of today, both scenarios are still on the table twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #Bitcoin - BTC/NASDAQ Ratio Bitcoin / Nasdaq Zoom on 4H TF. The mid trendline is significant. twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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$BTC #bitcoin ratio Bitcoin / Nasdaq BTC/NDQ A few days ago, Tradingview added new data on the BTC history from 2009. We have crossed the middle line, and we are now retesting it / trying to cross it up again. twitter.com/NeoWave_crypto…

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