Carl R. Tannenbaum
@NT_CTannenbaumChief Economist for Northern Trust. @UChicago grad, former Fed risk manager during the financial crisis. Always in search of something good to eat.
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The incoming #Congress and the new administration are making plans for next year. What lies ahead for #taxes, spending, #energy policy, and other matters? Some insight here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
#Inflation has proven stickier than desired, and new policies may push it in the wrong direction. This could mean higher-for-longer #interestrates from the #FederalReserve...and friction with the incoming Administration. Thoughts here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
#Congress may be limited in its #fiscal ambitions by the rules that surround budget measures. Understanding "reconciliation" procedures will be essential. Our primer here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
The course of economic policy in the U.S. has garnered the lion's share of attention during #Election2024. But #Europe also has some difficult choices to make. Our views on what lies ahead for the #eurozone here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
#Election2024 will have substantial impacts on the American #economy, but it will also have an impact on overseas markets. Our analysis of how the outcome will affect specific regions can be found here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
The people have spoken! How will the incoming cast in Washington affect the #economy? We anticipate higher #growth, higher #inflaton, higher #interestrates, and higher budget #deficits. Details here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
Attention surrounding #Election2024 focused largely on the races for seats in Washington. But winners in state and local races will have some important budget decisions waiting for them. Background here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
The new administration will set the tone for #regulation across sectors. #Tech, #energy, and #medicine will be among the leading areas of focus. Some thoughts on what might lie ahead here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
For the past 50 years, the American government has struggled with #energy policy. The edition that takes office January will inherit considerable unfinished business on this front. Background here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
There are no #Fed officials on the ballot today, and that is a good thing. Hopefully, the winners of #Election2024 will respect the independence of our central bank. Thoughts on this subject here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
The latest World Economic Outlook from the #IMF included a chapter on structural reforms. Given this year's #elections, though, chances of passage are very slim. Our thoughts on this conflict between #economics and #politics here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
#COVID-19 led to a surge in small business formation, which has been sustained in the post-#pandemic years. Some have fallen away, but many have been successful; that is good news for #economic growth. Background here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
Is #privatecredit a panacea or a potential problem area? Opinion is divided on this topic, as I discuss here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
Our latest installment on #economic issues related to the #Election2024 looks at #demographics and the impact they are having on #SocialSecurity and #Medicare. Can we age gracefully, in an economic sense? Thoughts here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
American voters give little weight to foreign policy when considering candidates. But Europeans are keenly interested in how #Election2024 will affect trade and security. Our thoughts here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
Conversations about #immigration can't stop at the southern border. They need to consider skilled workers, too; reform of the #H1B process is long overdue. Our thoughts here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
The United States isn't the only place having a tough debate over #immigration. In Europe, where the population is shrinking, newcomers are even more essential but even more controversial. Read on: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
#Immigration is a numbers game: a good level is essential to the #economy, but too many can overwhelm. Our thoughts on finding the right balance here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
Add in any significant deportation of #immigrants and you have the recipe for much higher #debt, #inflation, and interest rates. wsj.com/economy/centra… via @WSJ
The #PortStrike was brief (at least for now), but it illustrates that domestic #SupplyChains are vulnerable to uncomfortable disruptions. Thoughts here: northerntrust.com/insights-resea…
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