@MichaelPruser Profile picture

Michael Pruser

@MichaelPruser

Data-driven analytics focused on turnout and voter registration. https://t.co/KGKzhFdjRI

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If you're interested in the early voting data and want to dig into it at the party and county levels, you can find daily updates on the public Google Drive. You can also compare full and vote-type results and turnout for previous elections at the county level.…


The North Carolina Supreme Court race is coming down to the wire; Republican Jefferson Griffin currently leads incumbent Democrat Allison Riggs by 3,650 votes. With Wake County set to release a sizable number of absentees and provisional ballots today and a fair amount still…

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As the remaining vote is counted, Casey will pick up raw net votes in areas most favorable to him, making the race tighter (Allegheny, Montgomery, Delaware, Philadelphia, and a few others). However, as the last few days of voting have made clear, the margin at which Casey is…

Decision Desk HQ projects David McCormick (R) wins the US Senate election in Pennsylvania. #DecisionMade: 2:25pm ET Follow live results here: decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/G…

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Michael Pruser Reposted

Decision Desk HQ projects David McCormick (R) wins the US Senate election in Pennsylvania. #DecisionMade: 2:25pm ET Follow live results here: decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/G…

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Michael Pruser Reposted

Decision Desk HQ projects Josh Harder (D) wins the US House election in California's 9th congressional district. #DecisionMade: 10:08pm ET Follow live results here: decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/G…


In the CA-13 race, incumbent John Duarte received some good news last night when he won the Merced drop by five points (Adam Gray's home county, which he is now behind in). This race is not as clean as the others; there is still a considerable amount of outstanding votes left,…

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Five remaining House races are left uncalled, and three are just about finished. 🔵CA-21: Likely Costa 🔵CA-09: Likely Harder ⚫CA-45: Toss-Up 🔴CA-13: Lean Duarte 🔴AK-AL: Likely Begich Costa, Harder, and Begich are a matter of time (and a very short time at that). In CA-45,…

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That's a wrap, folks. 218 for the GOP.

Decision Desk HQ projects Juan Ciscomani (R) wins the US House election in Arizona's 6th congressional district. #DecisionMade: 7:13pm ET Follow live results here: decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/G…

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Happy Veterans Day! If you come across a Veteran today, thank them for their service. The freedom this country provides should never be taken for granted.

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Michael Pruser Reposted

Decision Desk HQ projects Ruben Gallego (D) wins the US Senate election in Arizona. #DecisionMade: 8:57 PM EDT Follow live results here: decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/G…

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The ballot counting problem in Arizona is mainly due to the legislature updating election laws. But it's not all on the legislature. On Tuesday afternoon, @sfalmy noted 2.5 million ballots in the state's hands, the vast majority of which had been pre-processed and ready to be…

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Michael Pruser Reposted

Decision Desk HQ projects Jacky Rosen (D) wins the US Senate election in Nevada. #DecisionMade: 9:24 AM EDT Follow live results here: decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/G…

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Half of the Nye vote just came in; Brown now has a 5,200 vote lead. Expected; still waiting on over the next few days.

Four Senate seats remain to be called. All for will end with razor-thin margins, but it's extremely unlikely either party will win them all. 🔵Lean Gallego 🟣Rogers / Slotkin Toss-up 🟣Brown / Rosen Toss-up 🔴Lean McCormick There is a substantial vote to be counted in Arizona…



Four Senate seats remain to be called. All for will end with razor-thin margins, but it's extremely unlikely either party will win them all. 🔵Lean Gallego 🟣Rogers / Slotkin Toss-up 🟣Brown / Rosen Toss-up 🔴Lean McCormick There is a substantial vote to be counted in Arizona…


After going through all 50 states and aggregating turnout expectations, two things. 1. Based on today's turnout, both candidates should feel the same way they did going in. The numbers were standing, and nothing jumped off the page. 2. Total turnout is going to finish awfully…


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