@MartinSkold2 Profile picture

Martin Skold

@MartinSkold2

Geostrategerist. Policy wonk. Political adviser. Author: https://t.co/JcTDdsUVh1. Traveler of antique lands w/the lovely @cmgoodlander. Views my own.

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And we’re live. My book on the strategy of regional great power competition (with plenty for the naval power and WWI enthusiasts) is now available in print and electronic form from @MC_UPress Very honored to be publishing with them. Thanks also to @ElbridgeColby,…

NEW FROM MCUP Martin Skold's The Race with No Finish Line buff.ly/3sGmfSC Order your copy today!

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Yup.

“America does not lose wars. It loses interest.”



If we - and especially Ukraine - are lucky, a ceasefire will buy some time. If we - and especially they - are smart, we will use it.

IT IS NOT the deal that will deter future aggression but what is done to ensure a free, prosperous, and secure Ukraine and a strong NATO eastern flank



Anything that can carry freight can carry drones…

I’ve been saying we can arm Ready Reserve ships this way for years 🤷‍♂️



Bingo. Sea powers usually lose interest in overseas land wars. The median American voter barely has any use for them to begin with.

"You have the watches but we have the time"



She’s gonna get Feinsteined. Or Bidened.

I am curious what she's going to do now. Does she finally retire, or is she going to hang around for two more years so she doesn't go while in the minority? She definitely seems to be lingering in a way that is not what she promised at first. Sound familiar?



Britain has been foreign agency-captured. The US is just (maybe) getting done with being so. The two countries usually deal with similar things on a <4-year time lag.

Always a good sign when the former PM of a country, one that you were sucking up to by giving them loads of territory, has been banned from leaving the country after losing every seat in the legislature.



Believe it or not all these parties exist in the US, as distinct constituencies within the major parties. And they’re as hard to put together in a coalition here as over there.

Not only does the probability of Lib Dems, Greens, Islamist Independents and Labour splitting the left wing vote not occur, its the astounding incomprehension of distinct possibility of Conservative/Reform coalition government forming. Cargo cultists.



Or that by 1972 it was effectively -won-, but that the withdrawal of American air support afterward was decisive. Which brings me back to a couple points: —Public support (and disillusionment) is everything —Americans don’t like loose ends

Even fewer have the courage to say that the Vietnam War was winnable



This was actually the beginning of the neocon-neolib Blob. Obama and McCain both went in hard on the Arab Spring; as did all the think tanks from right to left. A lot of American foreign policy incoherence is traceable to the fact that from 2011 onward Americans lacked choices.

Obama did that, as I recalled



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I’m not sure there’s a good guy in a ME civil war - but in the end we decided we did -not- want the Sunni jihadists running things. Which is a good intuition pump for what Americans -really- want in their ME policy.

There are three options for who gets to run a ME state: —Thuggish secularist crooks (only until they’re overthrown, bc otherwise nobody supports them) —Arab Sunni/Salafist jihadists on the AQ/IS model —Iran-backed Shi’a and ethnic minority goon squads Choose your fighter wisely.



There are three options for who gets to run a ME state: —Thuggish secularist crooks (only until they’re overthrown, bc otherwise nobody supports them) —Arab Sunni/Salafist jihadists on the AQ/IS model —Iran-backed Shi’a and ethnic minority goon squads Choose your fighter wisely.

Tulsi Gabbard joined the armed forces to fight Al Qaeda after they attacked us on 9/11. Here’s how our government thought of Al Qaeda in Syria in 2012. For objecting to the Jake Sullivan-Hillary Clinton view, Gabbard has been smeared as an Assadist or Putinist.

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Have fun.

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Evolution of Indo-European swear words. 🤣



Martin Skold Reposted

Or it’s an argument for keeping a small Army and a large Navy. 😉 Which is, in fact, how you run a global empire. What we’ve done is in effect copy the Roman model (turn seas into lakes) rather than the British (live on the sea; go up on land only to a small degree).


Government-wide foreign agency capture. At some point you cease to rule the world and the world rules you.

In its final days this administration attempts to do what it still can for its most important constituency: foreigners.

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