@Marcus_How89 Profile picture

Marcus How

@Marcus_How89

Head of Analysis at VE Insight. Advising investors on political risks in CESEE (+Austria). Austro-Essexian. Opinions my own etc. Find me at the Cloudless Place.

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I contributed some insights on the results of the Austrian election in an interview with @RFERL See the feature on the election below. The link to the story is here: rferl.org/a/austia-elect…


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How did it come to this? Some thoughts on the tragedy of Germany's "Ampel" (traffic-light 🔴🟢🟡) SPD-Green-FDP coalition, and on what must come next: politico.eu/article/german…


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The Hated and the Dead podcast is back! @michal_ovadek and I look at Robert Fico and Slovakia. We discuss: How different is 🇸🇰 to 🇨🇿, 🇭🇺 or 🇵🇱? What does Fico believe in? Why the indifferent position on 🇺🇦? Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/7IypVC… Apple: podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/the…


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Happening now! x.com/i/spaces/1ynJO…


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@GEOPOWER_EU Talks with @ENC_Europe and former Dep. Foreign Minister of Albania 🇦🇱 and former Foreign Minister of Croatia 🇭🇷🇪🇺& others ❎ The state of EU enlargement 🇲🇪🇷🇸🇦🇱🇲🇰🇧🇦🇽🇰🇺🇦🇲🇩🇹🇷🇬🇪 twitter.com/i/spaces/1OyKA… Join to listen & discuss now 👇⤵️


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"Unterwerfung in Europa": Ein Gespräch in Wien zwischen Russlands treuem Verbündeten Viktor Orban und dem ehemaligen Gasprom-Manager Gerhard Schröder, moderiert von dem begabten Schweizer Journalisten-Darsteller Roger Köppel. Saal ist voll.

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Join the ongoing discussion on EU enlargement by @GEOPOWER_EU, a consortium on EU foreign policy under the umbrella of EU Horizon: x.com/i/spaces/1ynJO…


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🇸🇰📉 "Governments led by Fico’s Smer party have now been in power for more than 13 of the past 18 years, making it ever harder to blame all of Slovakia’s long-term economic ills on other people’s failures." @cepa cepa.org/article/slovak…


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Merkel's policies were a product of a political consensus on Russia, energy policy, infrastructure investment and the Eurozone that reached across the main parties from CDU/CSU, FDP to the SPD, and which was shared by policymakers in other EU states as well as the US.

That, too, was part of Merkelian politics though: Surround yourself with incompetents so that their failings will make you look better in comparison.



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EUROPEAN GAS: Romania became the EU's biggest gas producer for the first time ever in Q2, overtaking the Netherlands which forced the closure of the Groningen field in October 2023. Romania also set for major gas output increase in 2027 when Neptun Deep starts... #TTF #ONGT


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Angela Merkel's memoirs are out next month. This week's Charlemagne revisits her legacy. She led Germany - and thus Europe - as if in a make-believe world, letting it enjoy an extended geopolitical and economic nap from which it still needs to wake up. economist.com/europe/2024/10…

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Ich habe mich für das #BrüsselBriefing @DiePressecom durch die Antworten von @magnusbrunner an das EU-Parlament gearbeitet und muss feststellen: der Finanzminister Brunner scheint nur namensgleich mit dem designierten Kommissar Brunner zu sein. diepresse.com/19000234/magnu… [P.]


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Why hard-line populists now say that they are the ‘political middle’ and that others are the extremists My latest for ⁦@ForeignPolicyforeignpolicy.com/2024/10/22/far…


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People forget, Nehammer macht übrigens nur, was seine Wähler und Wählerinnen wollten. Und im Übrigen ist das schon Ausdruck der Radikalisierung der FPÖ der jüngeren Jahre… 1/2

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Bundespräsident Van der Bellen beauftragt ÖVP-Chef Nehammer mit der Bildung einer neuen Regierung. Dazu soll er zunächst Gespräche mit der SPÖ aufnehmen, so Van der Bellen in einem Statement.


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Listen to leading experts on geo-politics & geo-economics on #GeoPowerTalks ⤵️ I moderate & discuss each session for next 3 years ⤵️ 1st session 🗓️ October 31st 4PM CET > don’t forget to register below ⤵️

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📣We are thrilled to announce the launch of our 🆕 Twitter/X Spaces series: GEO-POWER Talks! Join us on October 31st at 4 PM CET for the first session on the upcoming #EU🇪🇺 enlargement report 👉Moreℹ️: bit.ly/3UGGdrN 👉Registration: forms.gle/GbWnB2KNWHkYb8…

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Die ÖVP mit Karl Nehammer bekommt einen Regierungsbildungsauftrag mit der SPÖ von Bundespräsident Alexander Van der Bellen. „Herbert Kickl findet keinen Koalitionspartner.“


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I am thrilled to announce that my book 'Central Europe: The Death of a Civilization and the Life of an Idea' will be out with @HurstPublishers next year. It explores the rise, fall, and strange resurrection of some place called Central Europe from the 18th c. to the present day!

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It seems Nehammer was serious about not wanting to form a coalition government with the FPÖ that includes Kickl. The questions are: 1) will the coalition of interests that is the ÖVP stand united behind him? and 2) what's going to happen behind closed doors?

Es bleibt dabei: Die ÖVP und Parteichef Kanzler Nehammer lehnen eine Regierung mit FPÖ-Chef Kickl ab. Nach Gespräch der beiden Parteichefs betont Nehammer seine Position. "Werde nicht den Steigbügelhalter für Kickl machen" - derStandard.atderstandard.at/story/30000002…



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