@LadyO_TreeSyrup Profile picture

Aaron K

@LadyO_TreeSyrup

Stars fan, data fan, handle to the tune of "Radio Free Europe" He/him

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Pinned

xG is good, but it's designed from the shooter's perspective. xS is similar but approaches the shot from the goalie's perspective

Introducing Expected Saves, A new metric for evaluating goaltenders

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Aaron K Reposted

Did a correlation heatmap analysis regarding passing metrics since they aren't in NHL play-by-play and found that while passes leading to high-danger chances are still valuable, passes leading to mid-danger chances are just as if not more valuable than high-danger chances.

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Doing some # research that suggests that quantity mid-danger chances contribute more to outcomes than quality high-danger chances. In other words, assuming shot-models are accurate, it's more important to get shots on net than it is to drive for low-slot chances. Interesting.



Aaron K Reposted

New Post: A look at how missing time over a contract dispute affects production for RFAs. It turns out sitting out may not have as much of an impact as it might seem.

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Aaron K Reposted

New Post: A look at NHL EDGE stats for each game of the Stanley Cup Final, including game-by-game bursts, shot speed, and zone time (link below)

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Aaron K Reposted

New post: A look at just how good the Stars' top line was with Wyatt Johnston, plus how they compare to other lines historically and what that could mean for future performance

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Aaron K Reposted

New post: wrapping up my series on skating speed for now with some miscellaneous stuff about predicting burst rates, aging, and the effects of rest

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Aaron K Reposted

New Roster Roadmap: The Stars have had waves of talented players coming out of their prospect pipeline and are well positioned to use regenerative cohorts to contend for the long haul. #TexasHockey puckluckanalytics.com/2024/09/09/dal…

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Aaron K Reposted

New post: does skating speed have an impact on shot rates and quality? Maybe a little bit!

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Aaron K Reposted

New article up on LB-Hockey! 🚨 It dives into my process linking @MoneyPuckdotcom's & @ShutdownLine's shot data. This culminates in a deep-dive on how the result is used to evaluate offensive flow and player roles in teams' passing systems. lb-hockey.com/2024/08/23/mer…

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Brett hull

Who’s the first player that comes to mind when you see this logo? 🤔

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How much does role/usage affect skating speed? x.com/LadyO_TreeSyru…

NHL EDGE: Skating Speed, Part 2, role/usage and fatigue puckovertheglass.substack.com/p/nhl-edge-ska…

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