Greg Schmitt
@GregSchmitt1Dad, husband, friend, investor, fan of sports and music.
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New York City should be doing more to take advantage of being one of the safest places in the US, says @foxjust Here’s why 🎥
I'm surveying institutional clients with the same question, seeing what X folks think: If the unemployment rate continues to rise, what level would trigger a sell-off in the S&P 500? If you retweet this I'll send you the institutional results too. #macro #hope
Can someone please explain to me in crayon how “inflation keeps going down,” but we continue to live in the most expensive timeline of our lifetime?
Analysis of averages produces average analysis. Notice that no example is even close to average. Context and standard deviation of the data are more relevant than averages. 🤓#macro #hope
👀 #Softilocks - softening growth and moderately easing inflation & rates. The bull case for equities in 2024. #Goldilocks (stronger growth and lower inflation) has been on vacation since 2019. Seems the market continues to battle back and forth between #Softilocks and…
Without context, if interest rates grind lower will you be more or less bullish on equities? #macro
The unemployment rate is lower today than every month but one from the 1970s, 80s, 90s, 00s and 10s through 2017.
Joining @YahooFinance at 3pm ET to discuss the #macro and #market outlook, earnings season and the #Fed. Little bit of everything. #hope
Everyone relax and please remember that one of the side effects of a horrific knee/ankle/sore injury that almost paralyzed Kyle Filipowski is that now he randomly will trip people. It’s medical science
Saw this on Wake IG and thought it would make a great phone lock screen. Enjoy. Good night, Deacs.
Productivity growth is notoriously difficult to forecast. If we are in a productivity boom, something we’ll keep seeing: continued upward revisions to consensus growth estimates. In the 90s, GDP expected to always be around 2% to start the year but ended up be 4!
Forecasters marked up the outlook for US GDP growth in 2024 to 2.1% in the latest monthly Bloomberg survey, from 1.5% last month, on strength in consumer and government spending bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Aug 2000 and July 2007 - claims began moving higher. March 09, march 2003, March 2020 - eco activity broadly bottomed. Always need a catalyst to make stocks trade lower/higher, regardless of valuation. Valuation is a condition, not a catalyst for indices. #macro #hope
It's been exactly 28 years to the day since the Cowboys last appeared in the NFC Championship Game.
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