Fantasy Football Lineup Prediction Tester
@FPLLUPWho offers the best starting lineup predictions for the Fantasy Premier League?
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FPL Scout: fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/team-news/ Rotowire: rotowire.com/soccer/lineups… FF Pundit: fantasyfootballpundit.com/fantasy-premie…
Lowest average lineup errors per team this season: Southampton - @FFScout: 0.77 Tottenham - @Guardian_Sport: 1.79 West Brom - @FFScout: 1.46 West Ham - @Guardian_Sport: 0.75 Wolves - @FFScout: 1.69
Lowest average lineup errors per team this season: Liverpool - @RotoWireSoccer: 1.46 Man City - @FFScout: 2.38 Man Utd - @FFScout: 1.93 Newcastle - Average: 2.44 Sheffield Utd - @FFScout: 1.62
Lowest average lineup errors per team this season: Crystal Palace - @FFScout: 1.86 Everton - @Guardian_Sport: 1.15 Fulham - @FFScout: 1.36 Leeds Utd - @FFScout: 0.71 Leicester - @FFScout: 1.23
Lowest average lineup errors per team this season: Arsenal - @FFScout: 2.14 Aston Villa - @Guardian_Sport: 1.00 Brighton - @Guardian_Sport: 1.92 Burnley - @FFScout: 0.92 Chelsea - @FFScout: 1.71
Aston Villa errors per lineup (95% CI): Default: 1.00 from 14 (0.42 - 1.58) @Guardian_Sport: 1.00 from 10 (0.49 - 1.51) @RotoWireSoccer: 1.27 from 11 (1.00 - 1.55) @FFScout: 1.33 from 12 (0.89 - 1.77)
Perfect lineup predictions up to GW17: @FFPundits 20/106 = 19% @FFScout 40/263 = 15% @Guardian_Sport 35/256 = 14% Default 36/308 = 12% @RotoWireSoccer 28/244 = 11%
Worst GW17 prediction: @RotoWireSoccer expected Riedewald, Dann, Eze, van Aanholt and Clyne to start. Crystal Palace picked Mitchell, Tomkins, Schlupp, Milivojevic and Ward instead.
Best GW17 prediction: @FFScout got 9/11 players right for Crystal Palace, while the other sites averaged 7.33. FPL Scout was expecting Clyne and Eze, but Crystal Palace picked Townsend and Ward instead.
GW17 errors per lineup: @FFScout: 1.72 @FFPundits: 1.73 @Guardian_Sport: 2.29 @RotoWireSoccer: 2.44 Default: 2.94
Errors per lineup this season (95% CI): @FFScout: 1.63 from 263 (1.48 - 1.77) @Guardian_Sport: 1.79 from 256 (1.64 - 1.93) @FFPundits: 1.82 from 106 (1.56 - 2.08) @RotoWireSoccer: 2.02 from 244 (1.85 - 2.19) Default: 2.14 from 308 (1.97 - 2.31)
Perfect lineup predictions up to GW16: @FFPundits 17/91 = 18.68% @FFScout 39/245 = 15.92% @Guardian_Sport 34/242 = 14.05% Default 35/290 = 12.07% @RotoWireSoccer 27/226 = 11.95%
Worst GW16 prediction: @RotoWireSoccer expected Tielemans, Fofana, Maddison, Ndidi, Vardy and Fuchs to start. Leicester picked Iheanacho, Mendy, Amartey, Thomas, Praet and Choudhury instead.
Best GW16 prediction: @FFScout got 9/11 players right for Leicester, while the other sites averaged 6.0. FPL Scout was expecting Fofana and Fuchs, but Leicester picked Barnes and Amartey instead.
Added a new prediction: Default. This uses last game's confirmed starting lineup as the prediction for this game. There are no changes even for red cards or broken legs.
GW16 errors per lineup: @FFScout: 1.94 @FFPundits: 2.45 @RotoWireSoccer: 3.00 Default: 3.12
Errors per lineup this season (95% CI): @FFScout: 1.62 from 245 (1.47 - 1.77) @Guardian_Sport: 1.76 from 242 (1.61 - 1.90) @FFPundits: 1.84 from 91 (1.55 - 2.12) @RotoWireSoccer: 1.99 from 226 (1.81 - 2.16) Default: 2.09 from 290 (1.92 - 2.26)
Worst GW15 prediction: @FFPundits expected Richarlison, Coleman and André Gomes to start. Everton picked Holgate, Davies and Gordon instead.
Best GW15 prediction: @RotoWireSoccer got 10/11 players right for Wolves, while the other sites averaged 8.0. Rotowire's mistake was expecting Boly, but Wolves picked Traoré instead.
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