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Pinned

Many are saying @BrianKGolden is the Hemingway of prediction market degen writing! Congrats!


Esteban Reposted

66,000 projects and counting—it's a Big Deal.

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Republicans finally agree: Joe Biden's economy is a success!

good news, the economy is great again (for americans that thought it was horrible a week ago)

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Again, undefeated theory. @monkey_reg

undefeated theory @monkey_reg



That means you’re out bud. If you don’t even know your in the game, you ain’t event playin!!

Sam Graves said it’s unclear to him whether he’s still under consideration for DOT secretary. “It’s up to the president,” he said. subscriber.politicopro.com/newsletter/202…



Esteban Reposted

Asked Pelosi how she’s doing. “Terrible,” she said


Is there a Rick Scott for senate majority leader discord?


Esteban Reposted

Trump is on track for a smaller popular vote victory than Hillary Clinton won in 2016. Democrats have work to do. They need to build a coalition that’s not always 2 points from losing to MAGA. But I don’t see Republicans internalizing that this was a narrow victory in a…

Updated estimate: Harris 76.2m votes (48.4%) Trump 78.5m votes (49.9%) other 2.6m votes (1.5%) Total turnout 157.3m votes (vs 158.6m in 2020) Trump margin +1.5% Tipping-point state: PA (Trump +2.1%)



The low information voter remains undefeated 🔥🔥

This quote is absolutely insane.

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Esteban Reposted

A few thoughts from the conversations I’ve been having and hearing over the last week: The hard question isn’t the 2 points that would’ve decided the election. It’s how to build a Democratic Party that isn’t always 2 points away from losing to Donald Trump — or worse. The…


Had to reduce my position by 50% as I bet most of my bankroll. I started before election with 7k on Kalshi. But will continue to buy Scott No at opportune times. Need to keep an eye out for any signal that indicates the vote could turn in his favor. Seems unlikely.

Probably my largest position ever as an events trader is Rick Scott NO. Let's see what happens.



Probably my largest position ever as an events trader is Rick Scott NO. Let's see what happens.


Rick Scott currently in the lead in race to be GOP Majority Leader

taking a moment here to freshen up the spreadsheet *public* senator endorsements for gop leader so far: Cornyn: Hawley Thune: Rounds, Mullin Scott: Johnson, Hagerty, Paul

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Esteban Reposted

Pedocons have a trifecta. Dems don’t need an immediate plan & can’t do one anyway. Certainly not your pet issues Imho leaning into backlash to whatever dumb stuff trump does is the move Plz stop everyone


3s!!!

While I was driving... Pinal posted 19,563 votes in the US Senate race. Batch breakdown: Lake 51 Gallego 45 Gallego leads Lake by 33,332. Pina has 4,032 ballots remaining, 3,732 of which are provisionals.



This is nonsense. The great replacement is good and we must replace all white republicans with latino republicans. Please continue.

So with Trump winning 45% of the Hispanic vote can we PLEASE stop the Great Replacement nonsense? If it were true it would be the worst Keystone Kops attempt to remake/undermine America ever. 1/



Esteban Reposted

Congrats to the teamsters

New: Trump’s big win is a body blow for US labor movement, poised to slam shut some rare recent openings. Among moves business advocates are urging Trump take: Firing not just NLRB GC but the labor board's Democratic members. In next @BW issue. Gift link: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…



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