Carolin Pflueger
@CarolinPfluegerUniversity of Chicago, Harris School of Public Policy. Research on finance and monetary policy.
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Super interesting paper on how the monetary inflation response matters, presented by @luigi_bocola . I particularly like that a simple monetary policy model provides insights on how inflation and output would have developed with a more inflation-sensitive Fed post-Covid.
Last week I presented "Bond Market Views of the Fed" (nber.org/papers/w32620) at the annual monetary policy conference @ECB This is a video of my presentation, followed by a great discussion by @KlodianaIstrefi and conference participants. youtu.be/9C63Zfcfv20
Amazing. Valentin Haddad, @tylersmuir and I are so happy “whatever it takes” is now forthcoming at the AER. We could not be more thankful to the amazing referee team and the editor Emi Nakamura. The final product is much better than the initial submission.
Forthcoming in the AER: "Whatever It Takes? The Impact of Conditional Policy Promises" by Valentin Haddad, Alan Moreira, and Tyler Muir. aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…
The public increased its perception of the Fed's inflation response, but only after liftoff in March 2022. Actions spoke louder than words.
The public's perceptions about the Federal Reserve shape the effectiveness of monetary policy. Tune into the latest episode of The Pie w/ @CarolinPflueger (@HarrisPolicy) & @tessvigeland for a discussion of how these perceptions have shifted over time. ow.ly/cCW150TpkYT
As a global hegemon, the US can borrow $ cheaply, supporting military investments. When rival countries gain financial power, it threats the hegemon's position and even lead to a transition. @HarrisPolicy's @CarolinPflueger & @YaredPierre ow.ly/XWZh50Tm4Wn
New paper with Anna Cieslak and Wenhao Li! Inflation does not always deplete convenience value of Treasuries, as revealed by 100 years of US data. Surprising? Logical in Mundell-Tobin-Friedman "money channel" where inflation is price of holding money and similar financial assets.
Treasury convenience yield and inflation comove positively during the inflationary 1970s–80s, but negatively before WWII and after 2000, from Anna Cieslak, Wenhao Li, and @CarolinPflueger nber.org/papers/w32881
Fed's actions spoke louder than words in inflation fight, research shows reut.rs/3YTeEhJ
Today's first #JacksonHole2024 paper is: “Changing Perceptions and the Transmission of Monetary Policy" by @CarolinPflueger, assoc. professor at Univ. of Chicago. Discussant is Janice C. Eberly, professor at Northwestern Univ. Read it here: bit.ly/4dRsd5u #JacksonHole
Financial market depth enhances the US's military and financial dominance, but also introduces equilibrium multiplicity and fragility with a possibility of hegemonic transitions, from @CarolinPflueger and @YaredPierre nber.org/papers/w32775
Had a terrific week meeting with a cohort of 30+ promising young scholars working on their dissertations at the intersection of macro and finance as part of our @MFRProgram Summer Session for Young Scholars. It was a pleasure to learn about their interesting research ideas. These…
Perceptions about the monetary policy rule vary a lot over time. This matters for how monetary policy is transmitted through financial markets, and in particular long- and short-term interest rates.
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Perceptions about Monetary Policy,” by Bauer (@michaelbauer_hh), Pflueger (@CarolinPflueger), and Sunderam: doi.org/10.1093/qje/qj…
…aaand we close our 6th edition of the Women in Macro!! 🤩
Thank you for the fantastic keynote! I loved seeing how all your fascinating research ties together. Highly recommend the slides for anyone interested in Treasury markets.
"Measuring Fiscal Capacity." Sharing my keynote at the Chicago Booth Treasury Markets Conference last month. rb.gy/wzouku
The application deadline for our 2024 @MFRProgram Summer Session for Young Scholars to be held at the University of Chicago is fast approaching. Interested students must apply by March 1st. Please see below for more info:
.@MFRProgram, led by @UChi_Economics' @UncertainLars, will hold a summer session for PhD students looking to write a dissertation at the interplay of macroeconomics and finance. The MFR Summer Session will be held on August 5-8, 2024. Info & application: ow.ly/FYYK50QAkYH
It a freezing cold in Oslo now but do not forget to submit to the annual @NorgesBank joint conference with @bundesbank and @nationalbanken in Frankfurt on May 7-8 with @ludwigstraub and @CarolinPflueger Deadline is January 15. bundesbank.de/resource/blob/…
glad to see our ARFE piece that provides an asset pricing perspective on public debt sustainability come out today (open access): annualreviews.org/doi/full/10.11…
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