S&P 500 Index Size of Intraday Swings Since 1985
From Liquidity Euphoria to Hangover phase 1/ Since early 2023, I’ve been aggressively long U.S. equities, Bitcoin & the liquidity-fueled soft landing narrative. But now, the regime has changed. Bookmark this for when the headlines catch up, a thread 🧵👇:
Ded rn
The Chinese are trolling America with memes on American re-industrialization. The music. 😂
S&P 500 Daily Sentiment just collapsed to 10 This is the bottom 2% of all historic readings
The S&P 500 is down 13.7% in the first 64 trading days of 2025, the 6th worst start to a year in history. $SPX youtube.com/watch?v=2gVCCf…
I think their gonna be a bounce for wave B to the 200dma or close to that
VIX reached 45 today. Here's every time this happened in the past, and what the S&P 500 did over the next few days ⬇️
Summary of some approximate financial metrics of what Buffett paid and sold $AAPL for (yes not all etc etc).
The average interest rate on US credit card balances has moved up to 21.8%. With data going back to 1994, that's the highest rate we've ever seen. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=iahlYX…
The S&P 500's Dividend Yield has moved down to 1.27%, tied with Q4 2021 for the lowest yield since 2000. bilello.blog/newsletter
There have been more declining than advancing stocks in the S&P 500 $SPY for 7 straight days. The index is less than 3% off its peak. That's happened twice before in the past 25 years.
Utilities $XLU are trading 20% above their 200-day moving average. That only happened once before, in October 2000. It lasted one day.
The S&P 500's Dividend Yield has moved down to 1.27%, tied with Q4 2021 for the lowest yield since 2000. youtube.com/channel/UCRoWR…
The gaslighting is running full steam! Here is the NSA for Sep ADP and it really looks terrible.
Credit Card Debt vs Population 2007 Population: 302m Credit card Debt: $840B 2020 Population: 330m Credit card Debt: $894b Current: Population: 333m Credit card Debt: $1.14T Compared to 2007, the population has increased approx. 10% while debt has increased approx. 36%.…
San Francisco Fed president Janet Yellen on October 30, 2007 (page 40) 6 weeks before the recession began: federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy…
US TREASURY SECRETARY YELLEN: LABOR MARKET, INFLATION SUGGEST WE'RE ON A PATH TO A SOFT LANDING - CNBC.
To the soft landing advocates: valuations matter to your thesis. Where the market is trading in terms of forward PE has a direct correlation with whether economy avoids or enters a recession sometimes in the 12 months following the Fed’s first cut. And homies, today SPX is…
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