@laurienbalik Profile picture

Lauren Balik

@laurienbalik

Data Wrangler. Investor. Bearish on most things. Human capital, infrastructure, SaaS. Writing things here: https://t.co/uNe56gELkP

Lauren Balik Reposted

So close!

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Lauren Balik Reposted

Update on this one. Still looking dicey to me. Remember that markets are more or less musical chairs.

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Lauren Balik Reposted

Right before the pandemic crash, "tangible economy" sectors started to roll over alongside the 10 year yield. Investors piled into the last thing working: tech.

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Lauren Balik Reposted

Looking more closely at $cava lately - looks like $celh 2.0. Good company, but the run wasn't justified by the financials. It's a self-reinforcing momo play/Twitter pump that rises until it inevitably falls 40%+. Challenging to see any scenario where investor capital can be…


Lauren Balik Reposted

$trp trades 8.5x 2025 earnings paying out 7.34% and should benefit greatly through nat gas pipeline volume and nat gas storage.

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Lauren Balik Reposted

While everyone chases AI, you can barely give the stocks that help power AI away. A few examples: $FSLR trades at 10.4x 2025 earnings growing top line 25.4%.

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Lauren Balik Reposted

June CPI was cool, but the Fed’s update to their July forecast may be more interesting. 3.17% to 3% in one day. They started July at 3.23%.

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Lauren Balik Reposted

Unexpected side benefit of @chatprd: I can haunt PMs that used to work for me like an AI specter of CPO past

At OpenBorder, I worked on automatic inventory restocking.. a very fun math problem. i.e. when to reorder various skus in what quantities, given real world constraints like variable lead times and minimum order sizes. For fun, I put the PRD in @chatprd and the feedback was…

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Lauren Balik Reposted

Yes. It's hard to exaggerate how easy it is to have a sense of self if every day you actually do something meaningful that people want to buy. If you make cakes, you went to work, made cakes, and people bought: it's really easy to understand your role in the world. Much less if…


Lauren Balik Reposted

I am excited for the next leg up, when the market postpones the rate cuts in September, and stocks go up, because there'll be a new bull thesis: rate cuts.


Lauren Balik Reposted

Biden President, Trump VP would be a hell of a ticket that would unite America. The president is showing his unlimited political wisdom


Lauren Balik Reposted

Kamala Harris has big Dilma Rousseff vibes


Lauren Balik Reposted

Entry level exam question: considering people who buy FAAMGs, do they care about how much these companies market caps grow over the next decade?

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Lauren Balik Reposted

Today, the $QQQ underperformed the market, regardless of sector.

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open.substack.com/pub/metacritic… Passive flows impact big narrative stocks disproportionately



Lauren Balik Reposted

Get in, losers! It's risk on time!

U.S CPI (MOM) (JUN) ACTUAL: -0.1% VS 0.0% PREVIOUS; EST 0.1% U.S CPI (YOY) (JUN) ACTUAL: 3.0% VS 3.3% PREVIOUS; EST 3.1% U.S CORE CPI (MOM) (JUN) ACTUAL: 0.1% VS 0.2% PREVIOUS; EST 0.2% U.S CORE CPI (YOY) (JUN) ACTUAL: 3.3% VS 3.4% PREVIOUS; EST 3.4%



Lauren Balik Reposted

You can’t make it up, seriously.

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