José Javier
@alcocerjj_@uscpoir PhD Candidate | @USCPrice & @CSULB Alumnus | Legislative Institutions & Computational Social Science | Incepto ne desistam
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A group of political scientists published this piece back in October, before the election. They predicted *every* state correctly, a popular vote victory for Trump, and 3/4 chance of Trump victory in Electoral College. Fundamentals tell you more than pundits and pollsters.
So it seems my forthcoming paper is especially relevant. Some takeaways: 1) Latino Democrats/Republicans are partisans 2) Latino independents vote for whoever talks about the economy 3) Republicans emphasized economics in Latino outreach while Dems emphasized race/immigration
This must be tweeted every Halloween. I don’t make the rules
This. But for manuscript central.
🚨 New paper in @NatureComms 🚨 We created deepfakes of the current & former @POTUS giving speeches (w/ voices from voice actors & @elevenlabsio) to study what drives how well people can tell fake speeches from real ones Time to update the "Seeing is Believing" narrative 👇
Kendrick had Crips and Bloods shaking hands dancing to him calling Drake a pedophile to an entire audience of screaming fans. There has never been such a complete cultural victory before this. this is Genghis Khan levels of hating.
witnessed history , this is truly one of the greatest moments ive ever seen
Claudia Sheinbaum has officially won the 2024 Mexico Presidential Election. She becomes the first woman President in the country’s history.
🔥 new paper alert! 🔥 In our now accepted @The_JOP paper, @tabouchadi, @p_barbera, @whitney_hua, and I contribute new measurements and an analysis of parties’ anti-elite strategies. Preprint: doi.org/10.31219/osf.i… @PoliSciRes #PartyPolitics #SocialMedia #TextAsData 🧵 ...
.@RudySalasCA very close to @RepDavidValadao in CA-22. Dems were concerned two Rs might make it into general with two serious Dems on ballot, but Dem Salas only a couple points out of 1st place. Valadao 34%, Salas 30%
One of my least-liked design elements of suburban design is this inaccessible landing I see in foyers. Any creative solutions for "staging" it out there?
Everyone has a right to know when audio they’re hearing or video they’re watching is generated or altered by AI. Thanks to my Executive Order on AI, my Administration is helping develop standards to watermark and clearly label AI-generated content.
Our working paper on #MachineLearning for staggered #DifferenceInDifferences is out! Our method explores effect heterogeneity under staggered treatment adoption and is applied to assess the effect of Brazil's Family Health Program on infant mortality: arxiv.org/abs/2310.11962
You can use ChatGPT to make pairwise comparisons of politicians to construct an ideology measure or one specific to gun control or abortion patrickywu.com/PatrickYWu_JMP…
hamas ≠ palestine jewish people ≠ israeli government hope this helps
Why do California cities lobby the state government? Deep dive on why even some smaller cities account for 10% of lobbying expenditures before CA state legislature from @SameeaKamal @CalMatters calmatters.org/politics/2023/…
Today is publication day for the first 4 papers resulting from a unique collaboration between Meta researchers and outside academics to study the political effects of Facebook and Instagram in the 2020 U.S. election! 🧵 1/N
Statistics or Computer Science
in an alternate universe, in what field does variant you get their PhD?
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