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Do you ever *just know* you've written a line of code somewhere, but you can't find it? Use Ctrl+Shift+F in RStudio to search for terms *within* #rstats scripts (and other files), then send a thank you to the good people at @posit_pbc
seeing how hype ronnie get for his team while they play in the world series without him just makes me love him even more than i already did
NEW: We conduct lots of opinion polls. We also do research on how to improve polling. We’ve tried to distill all this knowledge into short, easy-to-digest lessons we hope will answer your questions. Read more about our new email mini-course on polling: pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021…
It's a challenge to estimate circulation for the entire U.S. newspaper industry. This post explains our methodology and the particular challenges we faced in 2020: medium.com/pew-research-c…
tidycensus and the segregation package by @elbersb make a great combination for analysis of residential segregation in #rstats. Multigroup entropy indices and the dissimilarity index are straightforward to compute.
For our survey research pals: After struggling to find reliable, current benchmarks for vital traits like party ID and religious affil., we decided to invest in benchmarking them ourselves. NPORS, the Nat'l Public Opinion Reference Survey @pewresearch buff.ly/2PMKcVc
We wondered: What do election poll errors like those in 2020 mean for the accuracy of polls about issues? To find out, we conducted a simulation. Long story short: Big overestimates of Biden’s margin translate into only small errors in issue questions pewrsr.ch/3b5oJ1I
NEW: Our major new survey of religion among Black Americans has just been released. pewforum.org/2021/02/16/fai…
If you're going to do this to two of your best players (one of which is coming off colon cancer surgery) so you can save $1.5 mil next year, sell the team. The word "embarrassing" doesn't do this justice.
You know the Orioles are keeping costs down in 2021. But something they attempted with 2 of their best players this month was highly unusual. It didn’t work. It made some go ‘Wow.” And it further raised questions about their current finances. My story: theathletic.com/2340453/2021/0…
Big day at @pewresearch with a new post from @FactTank: women make up just over a quarter of all members of the 117th Congress - the highest percentage in U.S. history pewrsr.ch/2Lp3XMa
We had some thoughts about what might have gone wrong with the polls last week -- and what the causes might mean for polling on policy issues pewrsr.ch/3f0Z7mT
Every other political science sub-specialty: “what we study is much more consequential than you think it is!” Misinformation scholars: “what we study is much less consequential than you think it is!”
New @PostEverything: Five myths about misinformation washingtonpost.com/outlook/five-m… Full of science-based real talk about echo chambers (overstated), fake news (little read) and its effects on 2016 (unproven), backfire effects (very rare), and "post-truth" (ahistorical). Please read!
Reviews of 2016 polling found that failing to adjust for overrepresentation of college grads was among the reasons many state-level polls underestimated Trump's support. Our new report provides data on the education profile of voters in all 50 states + DC: pewresearch.org/methods/2020/0…
Touki Toussaint, Two Pitch Curveball Sequence. Quick Pitch 76mph Curveball (ball), Vlad Jr. nods/smiles. Filthy 79mph Curveball, Vlad Jr. sword. ⚔️
NEW: Here are some key points the public should know about polling heading into this year’s presidential election. pewrsr.ch/2DyEi3N
Good piece from a great writer. A suggestion to fellow readers: read the article but skip the replies/comments.
“The players need to be better,” Rob Manfred said. No, the protocols needed to better. Individuals are not responsible for institutional ineptitude. Manfred is the latest in a long line of shepherds blaming their flocks for being eaten. bit.ly/39PMhFH
Because this is a good use of time on Saturday night, I want to just pull out this 2016 post-mortem from the pollsters' professional org (full disclosure, I'm a member), which examines in depth the possibility for a shy Trump vote. Short version: tests “yielded no evidence.”
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