Alpha Centauri
@AlphaCe92850664Private Investor Biotech Mining
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This is something to consider when #Trump was elected in 2016 he was elected into the start of a rate hiking cycle. 2024 the start of a cutting cycle. $DXY is overlayed. Yields will lead the way if we don't get continued strength in DXY $GDX should hold up much better.
$BTC vs $TSXV had a close correlation during their last big move. If global liquidity is on the rise TSXV has some catch up to do.
I terms of golds strength in regards to geopolitical positioning and a weak dollar it would have been better if Trump didn't come back to the stage. A lot of what was fueling golds climb is threatened with the change in leadership. x.com/NationalIndNew…
PPI came in hot pushing yields up but interesting to see $Gold & $GDX diverging and also heading up didn't expect this especially with $SPY $QQQ $IWM down.
Back test of the break down for $GDX. See how $PPI comes in tomorrow. If it comes in hot I would expect to test lower support just under 25.
$GDX now would be a good time to find support. If not might be going for Doc's $25.
Many are pointing to a #fedfund pause leading into a recession. Using examples from the past 30 years none of which were in an inflation regime. Look back to the 70s there were no pauses because like today the fed was keeping conditions tight as long as possible fighting…
After lunch trading should be interesting as most of opex expiry is in the AM vol shouldn't be so pinned.
New covid strain, fed hawk, freeze on container ships. Sure feels like an attempt at inflection point in narrative and pricing to follow?
Inflation is on its way to being solved? Sure, YoY (which is not seasonally adjusted) was down. But all of these, MoM, which are seasonally adjusted are up. This doesn't have the wealth effect from the Oct 31st rally priced in.
CPI MoM seasonally adjusted (Nov) all⬆️ core⬆️ energy⬆️ shelter⬆️ used cars and trucks ⬆️(two months in a row)
$JPY sure strong I wonder if Powell is blinking as he see's the JPY carry trade about to unwind. Borrow JPY, pay no interest then buy US assets. It works with JPY down but if it starts to accelerate more to the up side the unwind can result in alot of US assets sold. $SPY $QQQ
Today has much more bullish implications for gold then most realize.
United States Trends
- 1. $CUTO 10,8 B posts
- 2. Army 316 B posts
- 3. Arsenal 183 B posts
- 4. Liverpool 142 B posts
- 5. Chris Christie 3.439 posts
- 6. Everton 66 B posts
- 7. Memphis 15,4 B posts
- 8. $VSG 4.395 posts
- 9. Cherry Boom Christmas N/A
- 10. Arteta 51,9 B posts
- 11. Nottingham Forest 5.161 posts
- 12. #CelebrationBowl N/A
- 13. Fulham 68,5 B posts
- 14. $DCARS 5.777 posts
- 15. Karr 1.416 posts
- 16. SC State 2.027 posts
- 17. Fleury 1.142 posts
- 18. Braden Smith N/A
- 19. Black Ops 4 1.026 posts
- 20. #GoKingsGo N/A
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